战略耦合影响下珠三角产业升级模式及测度

doi:10.11821/dlyj020210280

地理研究 ›› 2022, Vol. 41 ›› Issue (4): 1107-1121.doi: 10.11821/dlyj020210280

战略耦合影响下珠三角产业升级模式及测度

刘逸¹^,²(), 张一帆³, 黄凯旋⁴(), 陈蕊⁵

1.中山大学旅游学院,广州 510275
2.中国科学院区域可持续发展分析与模拟重点实验室,北京 100101
3.中山大学地理科学与规划学院,广州 510275
4.新加坡国立大学地理系,新加坡 117570
5.韩山师范学院潮学研究院,潮州 521041

收稿日期:2021-04-06 接受日期:2021-09-01 出版日期:2022-04-10 发布日期:2022-06-10
通讯作者: 黄凯旋（1995-）,女,广东佛山人,博士研究生,主要研究方向为经济地理。E-mail: h.kaixuan@u.nus.edu
作者简介:刘逸（1980-）,男,广东汕头人,副教授,博士生导师,主要研究方向为经济地理、旅游地理、全球化与区域发展。E-mail: liuyi89@mail.sysu.edu.cn
基金资助:
粤港澳大湾区战略研究院建设专项(2019GDASYL-0202001);广东省科学院发展专项(2020GDASYL-20200102002);中国科学院区域可持续发展分析与模拟重点实验室开放基金(KF2020-04);广东省哲学社科项目(GD20SQ21)

Measuring impact of strategic coupling towards the patterns of industrial upgrading in the Pearl River Delta

LIU Yi¹^,²(), ZHANG Yifan³, HUANG Kaixuan⁴(), CHEN Rui⁵

1. School of Tourism Management, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou 510275, China
2. Key Laboratory of Regional Sustainable Development Modeling, CAS, Beijing 100101, China
3. School of Geography and Planning, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou 510275, China
4. Department of Geography, National University of Singapore, Singapore 117570, Singapore
5. Research Institute of Chaozhou Culture, Hanshan Normal University, Chaozhou 521041, Guangdong, China

Received:2021-04-06 Accepted:2021-09-01 Published:2022-04-10 Online:2022-06-10

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

现有研究已经初步揭示全球化进程中战略耦合与区域产业升级的互动机制,但战略耦合及其与产业升级的关系仍缺少量化测度。为此本文基于关系经济地理学视角,从企业和区域两个维度构建战略耦合影响下的产业升级模式分析框架,并借助多元线性回归模型初步定量实证战略耦合对产业升级的影响,研究发现：① 珠三角各城市均发生了产业升级,同时也存在地理尺度上的分异。其中,深圳表现出最优的区域整体升级,广州和珠海偏向于次优的企业升级,而东莞接近于产业结构升级,内卷化现象在珠三角城市尚未明显发生。② 战略耦合模式的差异显著影响产业升级进程,其中工业生产对港澳台资的依赖程度和外资企业的技术领先因素的作用最为突出。③ 2008年金融危机之后,战略耦合对产业升级的作用机制发生显著改变,成为区域发展路径的转折点。越依附于港澳台资和其他一般外资进行生产的地区升级越慢,但港澳台资企业的技术领先水平越高的区域则升级更加明显,而一般外资企业的技术领先水平对于升级的促进作用消失。本研究进一步完善了全球化下的产业升级理论,同时也是对关系经济地理学定量研究的一次积极探索。

关键词: 关系经济地理, 战略耦合, 产业升级, 珠三角

Abstract:

Existing research on strategic coupling has addressed the interaction mechanism between strategic coupling and regional industrial upgrading under globalization. However, current studies are mainly based on qualitative research and lack of quantitative measurement of relationships between strategic coupling and industrial upgrading. Therefore, based on two dimensions, the enterprise and the region, this study constructs an analytical framework to explore the patterns of industrial upgrading under the influence of strategic coupling. This study also adopts a multiple linear regression model to verify the impacts of strategic coupling on industrial upgrading. The main conclusions are as follows: First, all cities in the Pearl River Delta (PRD) have undergone industrial upgrading. However, there are some intra-regional divergence considering the patterns and extent of upgrading. Among these cities, Shenzhen has shown the best performance of upgrading, an overall regional upgrading. Guangzhou and Zhuhai have less-best upgrading, enterprise upgrading, which is followed by Dongguan with an upgrading related to industrial structure. Significantly, the phenomenon of involution has not yet occurred in the PRD. Second, the difference in the patterns of strategic coupling affects the process of industrial upgrading significantly. The production dependency on Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan-invested enterprises, and the technological dependency towards foreign enterprises are the most prominent influencing factors. Third, after the 2008 financial crisis, the interaction mechanism between strategic coupling and industrial upgrading has changed apparently, which remarked a turning point in the path of regional development. Regions that have higher dependency towards Hong Kong, Macao, Taiwan and other general foreign enterprises on industrial production have lower speed of upgrading. However, regions where Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan-invested enterprises have higher technology have more prominent regional upgrading. Nevertheless, the influence of advanced technologies brought by foreign-invested enterprises in fostering regional upgrading have faded out. Overall, this paper helps to advance the theory of industrial upgrading under globalization. It also tentatively explores the use of quantitative methods in relational economic geography.

Key words: relational economic geography, strategic coupling, industrial upgrading, Pearl River Delta

刘逸, 张一帆, 黄凯旋, 陈蕊. 战略耦合影响下珠三角产业升级模式及测度[J]. 地理研究, 2022, 41(4): 1107-1121.

LIU Yi, ZHANG Yifan, HUANG Kaixuan, CHEN Rui. Measuring impact of strategic coupling towards the patterns of industrial upgrading in the Pearl River Delta[J]. GEOGRAPHICAL RESEARCH, 2022, 41(4): 1107-1121.

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变量类型	变量符号	变量内容	变量描述
被解释变量：产业升级	Upgrade	全员劳动生产率	全市工业增加值与同年全体从业人员的平均人数的比值
解释变量：战略耦合	Exp.r	出口依赖	外商投资企业出口总额与全市出口总额的比值
	Out.f1	生产依赖-港澳台	港澳台资总产出与全市企业总产出的比值
	Out.f2	生产依赖-一般外资	除港澳台资外的境外其他外商投资企业总产出与全市企业总产出的比值
	Tec.f1	技术领先-港澳台	对于规模以上工业企业,港澳台资企业的生产率与全市所有企业的生产率的比值,生产率以企业平均总产值表示
	Tec.f2	技术领先-一般外资	对于规模以上工业企业,除港澳台资外的境外其他外商投资企业的生产率与全市所有企业的生产率的比值,生产率以企业平均总产值表示
控制变量	Exp	出口规模	全市出口总额
	CVA	企业平均增加值	全市工业增加值与工业企业数量的比值
	GDP	地区生产总值	全市生产总值
	FDI	外商投资总额	全市外商投资总额

	Obs	Mean	Std.Dev	Min	Max
Upgrade	189	135459.07	107744.93	16461.00	621046.40
Exp.r	189	0.16	0.21	0.06	0.92
Out.f 1	189	0.42	0.13	0.02	0.89
Out.f 2	189	0.26	0.13	0.003	0.49
Tec.f 1	189	1.47	0.77	0.21	7.04
Tec.f 2	189	1.31	0.97	0.31	7.37
Exp	189	1797.75	424.37	0.87	3057.02
CVA	189	7.52	1.13	0.03	5.097
GDP	189	176.68	3788.97	75.49	26927.09
FDI	189	136698.70	134930.86	183.00	820301.00

变量名称	变量内容	变量系数
变量名称	变量内容	1997—2019年	1997—2007年	2008—2019年
Exp.r	出口依赖	-0.2314^**	0.0363	-0.2073
Out.f1	生产依赖-港澳台	-0.7619^***	-0.5473^***	-1.4928^***
Out.f2	生产依赖-一般外资	0.6443^***	0.1413	1.1321^***
Tec.f1	技术领先-港澳台	0.1387^***	0.0978^***	0.2287^***
Tec.f2	技术领先-一般外资	-0.0165	0.0881^***	-0.1206^***
Exp	出口规模	-0.1010^***	-0.0276^***	-0.2351^***
CVA	企业平均增加值	0.6226^***	0.6107^***	0.4230^***
GDP	地区生产总值	0.3168^***	0.1774^***	0.4053^***
FDI	外商投资总额	-0.0922^***	-0.0671^***	-0.0393^*
样本量		412	189	181
调整后R²		0.8470	0.7113	0.7181

战略耦合影响下珠三角产业升级模式及测度

Measuring impact of strategic coupling towards the patterns of industrial upgrading in the Pearl River Delta

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