地理研究 ›› 2022, Vol. 41 ›› Issue (7): 1948-1962.doi: 10.11821/dlyj020210818
收稿日期:
2021-09-13
接受日期:
2022-02-15
出版日期:
2022-07-10
发布日期:
2022-07-07
通讯作者:
朱宇(1961-),男,福建闽清县人,博士,研究员,博士生导师,主要研究方向人口迁移流动、城市化与区域发展研究。E-mail: Zhu300@fjnu.edu.cn作者简介:
林李月(1985-),女,福建霞浦县人,博士,研究员,硕士生导师,主要研究方向为人口迁移与城乡发展。E-mail: lly30@163.com
基金资助:
LIN Liyue1,3(), ZHU Yu2,3(
), LIN Kun4
Received:
2021-09-13
Accepted:
2022-02-15
Published:
2022-07-10
Online:
2022-07-07
摘要:
在跨地区生计及其变迁的视角下,将流动人口在流入地和流出地城镇的住房状况有机结合,借助2016年中国流动人口动态监测调查数据和相匹配的城市特征数据,运用描述统计和多层次回归模型,探究流动人口城镇住房分层的特征及其影响因素。结果发现,流动人口的城镇住房已形成了一个从低到高依次由无城镇产权房、有城镇产权房(流出地或流入地城镇产权房)和多区域城镇产权房构成的“三阶四级式”的“金字塔型”结构。模型结果显示,流动人口个体及家庭的社会经济条件和流出地的区位禀赋是其实现城镇住房自有的重要基础和财务支撑,流入城市的经济发展水平、房价和城市规模仅对流入地和多区域城镇产权房有显著影响。因此,本文挑战了流动人口住房条件差的刻板印象,并吸引人们关注流动人口跨地区生计及其变迁对其城镇住房的影响,拓展了当代中国城镇住房分层研究的视角。
林李月, 朱宇, 林坤. 跨地区生计及其变迁视角下流动人口城镇住房分层的特征及其影响因素[J]. 地理研究, 2022, 41(7): 1948-1962.
LIN Liyue, ZHU Yu, LIN Kun. Characteristics and determinants of the floating population's urban housing stratification in China: From the perspective of multi-locational household arrangements and their changes[J]. GEOGRAPHICAL RESEARCH, 2022, 41(7): 1948-1962.
表1
不同城镇住房类型的基本特征描述分析
多区域城镇产权房 | 流入地城镇产权房 | 流出地城镇产权房 | 无产权房 | |
---|---|---|---|---|
年龄(岁) | 41.19 | 37.22 | 35.88 | 34.72 |
性别(女性=1,%) | 48.97 | 51.67 | 46.96 | 47.60 |
受教育年限(年) | 12.33 | 11.41 | 10.77 | 9.59 |
婚姻(已婚=1,%) | 92.51 | 91.91 | 82.94 | 80.20 |
户口性质(非农业=1,%) | 60.87 | 30.42 | 29.92 | 8.85 |
家庭平均月收入(元) | 16782.70 | 10395.68 | 8859.61 | 6859.69 |
单位性质①(体制内=1,%) | 10.45 | 8.39 | 6.75 | 3.99 |
本地居留时间(年) | 8.07 | 7.22 | 5.53 | 4.83 |
流出地区位(%) | ||||
东部 | 37.93 | 35.93 | 29.37 | 26.49 |
中部 | 30.80 | 31.41 | 41.47 | 40.85 |
西部 | 23.70 | 25.90 | 25.63 | 30.30 |
东北 | 7.57 | 6.76 | 3.53 | 2.36 |
流出地城乡类别②(%) | ||||
城市 | 49.05 | 18.71 | 22.52 | 4.79 |
乡镇 | 23.77 | 14.86 | 25.11 | 9.41 |
农村 | 27.18 | 66.43 | 52.37 | 85.80 |
流动范围(%) | ||||
跨省流动 | 69.60 | 49.20 | 74.97 | 69.16 |
省内跨市 | 22.94 | 35.39 | 20.38 | 23.98 |
市内跨县 | 7.46 | 15.41 | 4.66 | 6.86 |
家庭人口③空间配置(%) | ||||
独自一人在流入地 | 13.94 | 17.93 | 23.34 | 23.93 |
部分家庭成员在流入地 | 17.88 | 15.30 | 28.95 | 30.06 |
全部家庭成员在流入地 | 68.19 | 66.78 | 47.71 | 46.00 |
城市规模分布(%) | ||||
超大城市 | 55.96 | 27.07 | 39.52 | 27.95 |
特大城市 | 19.59 | 27.88 | 25.52 | 25.76 |
大城市 | 16.52 | 30.85 | 25.73 | 33.37 |
中等城市 | 4.50 | 9.80 | 6.37 | 9.94 |
小城市 | 3.43 | 4.40 | 2.86 | 2.98 |
人均GDP(元) | 101101.44 | 93585.31 | 36935.14 | 37303.65 |
房价(元/m2) | 16591.86 | 11755.24 | 15356.60 | 13215.81 |
表2
流动人口城镇住房分层的影响因素
固定效应 | 多区域城镇产权房 | 流入地城镇产权房 | 流出地城镇产权房 | |
---|---|---|---|---|
个体和家庭社会经济地位 | 受教育年限 | 0.147*** | 0.138*** | 0.039*** |
单位性质(体制外) | ||||
体制内 | 0.419*** | 0.271*** | 0.162*** | |
家庭月均收入 | 1.513*** | 1.009*** | 0.495*** | |
本地居留时间 | 0.074*** | 0.078*** | 0.011** | |
家庭人口结构与生命历程 | 家庭人口空间配置(独自一人在流入地) | |||
部分家庭成员在流入地 | 0.009 | -0.454*** | -0.057 | |
全部家庭成员在流入地 | 0.304*** | 0.080 | -0.212*** | |
婚姻(未婚) | ||||
在婚 | 0.173 | 0.690*** | 0.053 | |
流出地区位条件和资源禀赋 | 流出地城乡类别(农村) | |||
城市 | 2.151*** | 0.490*** | 1.864*** | |
乡镇 | 1.771*** | 0.241*** | 1.576*** | |
流出地区位(东部) | ||||
中部 | -0.216* | -0.224*** | 0.020 | |
西部 | -0.112 | -0.157** | -0.007 | |
东北 | 0.050 | 0.329** | 0.015 | |
流入城市的社会经济发展和市场环境 | 人均GDP | 0.025 | 0.072*** | -0.0003 |
房价 | -3.327*** | -3.122*** | -0.236 | |
房价平方项 | 0.617*** | 0.543*** | 0.044 | |
现流入城市规模(小城市) | ||||
超大城市 | 1.611*** | 1.229** | 0.394 | |
特大城市 | 0.546 | 0.279 | 0.076 | |
大城市 | 0.067 | 0.120 | -0.082 | |
中等城市 | -0.031 | 0.071 | -0.112 | |
个体控制变量 | 年龄 | 0.044*** | 0.016*** | 0.010*** |
性别(女性) | ||||
男性 | -0.152*** | -0.209*** | 0.061** | |
户口性质(农业) | ||||
非农业+居民 | 0.691*** | 0.539*** | 0.297*** | |
流动范围(市内跨县) | ||||
跨省流动 | -0.512*** | -0.727*** | 0.309*** | |
省内跨市 | -0.247** | -0.287*** | 0.144** | |
随机效应 | ||||
常数 | -20.910*** | -10.810*** | -7.639*** | |
对数似然比 | 1743.420*** | 9355.220*** | 1793.550*** | |
组间方差缩减比 | 0.09 | 0.23 | 0.25 |
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