地理研究 ›› 2014, Vol. 33 ›› Issue (9): 1778-1790.doi: 10.11821/dlyj201409018
• • 上一篇
曹罗丹1,2(), 李加林1,2,3(
), 叶持跃1, 徐谅慧1, 袁麒翔1, 王明月1, 马仁锋1, 黄大鹏4
收稿日期:
2013-12-05
修回日期:
2014-06-02
出版日期:
2014-09-20
发布日期:
2014-09-20
作者简介:
作者简介:曹罗丹(1990-),女,河南人,硕士生,主要从事洪涝灾害遥感监测研究,E-mail:
基金资助:
Luodan CAO1,2(), Jialin LI1,2,3(
), Chiyue YE1, Lianghui XU1, Qixiang YUAN1, Mingyue WANG1, Renfeng MA1, Dapeng HUANG4
Received:
2013-12-05
Revised:
2014-06-02
Online:
2014-09-20
Published:
2014-09-20
摘要:
明清小冰期是我国气候的异常期,各种自然灾害频发。通过系统搜集、整理明清时期浙江沿海地区自然灾害历史资料并对其进行统计分析发现,浙江省沿海地区各种自然灾害发生频次和造成的损失具有明显的时空地域分异特征,得到如下特征:①明清时期,随着时间推移,各种灾害发生频次成波动上升的趋势,在明末清初达到一个高峰值;在浙江沿海地区的各种灾害中,水、旱两灾的发生最为频繁,水灾发生频次高于旱灾。②水灾、旱灾、台风和潮灾是该地区的主要灾害类型,台风与水灾、潮灾之间是高度相关的,且台风灾害是浙江沿海地区的主要致灾因子,台风灾害诱发的灾害链具有波及面广、危害严重的特点。旱灾和水灾具有显著的相关性,在该地区水、旱两灾在时间尺度上的变化相对一致,这种现象可能是副高季节内振荡所导致的。③浙江省自然灾害发生频次和损失程度与地貌形态之间具有一定的联系。以平原、丘陵及低山等地貌类型为主的孕灾环境对浙江沿海地区水灾、旱灾、台风灾害和风暴潮灾等4种主要自然灾害类型及其损失的空间分布有着显著的影响。浙北地区水旱灾害变化剧烈,浙中、浙南地区相对较弱。杭州湾地区台风灾害的分布具有湾口多于湾顶,南岸多于北岸的特点。④从灾害损失的空间格局来看,特大损失程度灾害的主要类型为潮灾,且集中分布在浙北平原,浙南山地和浙东南平原丘陵分布较少。
曹罗丹, 李加林, 叶持跃, 徐谅慧, 袁麒翔, 王明月, 马仁锋, 黄大鹏. 明清时期浙江沿海自然灾害的时空分异特征研究[J]. 地理研究, 2014, 33(9): 1778-1790.
Luodan CAO, Jialin LI, Chiyue YE, Lianghui XU, Qixiang YUAN, Mingyue WANG, Renfeng MA, Dapeng HUANG. Spatial-temporal variations in natural disasters of the coastal regions in Zhejiang Province during Ming and Qing Dynasties[J]. GEOGRAPHICAL RESEARCH, 2014, 33(9): 1778-1790.
表2
水灾、旱灾、台风以及潮灾之间的相关性分析"
潮灾发生频次 | 旱灾发生频次 | 水灾发生频次 | 台风发生频次 | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
潮灾发生频次 | Pearson 相关性 | 1 | 0.163 | .635* | .836** |
显著性(双侧) | 0.652 | 0.048 | 0.003 | ||
N | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | |
旱灾发生频次 | Pearson 相关性 | 0.163 | 1 | .762* | 0.623 |
显著性(双侧) | 0.652 | 0.01 | 0.055 | ||
N | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | |
水灾发生频次 | Pearson 相关性 | .635* | .762* | 1 | .876** |
显著性(双侧) | 0.048 | 0.01 | 0.001 | ||
N | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | |
台风发生频次 | Pearson 相关性 | .836** | 0.623 | .876** | 1 |
显著性(双侧) | 0.003 | 0.055 | 0.001 | ||
N | 10 | 10 | 10 |
表3
浙江沿海地区各府灾害损失程度构成"
损失程度 | 小 | 中 | 较大 | 大 | 特大 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
频次 | % | 频次 | % | 频次 | % | 频次 | % | 频次 | % | |
嘉兴府 | 147 | 45 | 99 | 30.3 | 69 | 21.1 | 8 | 2.4 | 4 | 1.2 |
杭州府 | 172 | 52.1 | 58 | 17.6 | 81 | 24.5 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 2.7 |
绍兴府 | 197 | 55 | 55 | 15.4 | 86 | 24 | 13 | 3.6 | 7 | 2 |
宁波府 | 158 | 47.3 | 43 | 12.9 | 95 | 28.4 | 31 | 9.3 | 7 | 2.1 |
台州府 | 184 | 46.8 | 62 | 15.8 | 106 | 27 | 35 | 8.9 | 6 | 1.5 |
温州府 | 109 | 44.5 | 36 | 14.7 | 73 | 29.8 | 21 | 8.6 | 5 | 2.4 |
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