“一带一路”：中华民族复兴的地缘大战略

doi:10.11821/dlyj201506001

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

当前中国已经发展到一个特定历史节点,在经济利益已经遍布世界的同时,必须面对日渐趋紧的外部约束,因此亟须在国际上实现战略突破。欧亚大陆是世界政治舞台的中心,在综合国力尚存结构性缺陷之际,中国的全球战略应围绕欧亚大陆率先展开部署。“一带一路”为21世纪中国国家大战略指明了地理方向,是中国在新的地理历史条件下融入欧亚大陆的第一次尝试。在空间上,“一带一路”分别从欧亚大陆中部心脏地带和南部边缘地带,从东向西把这块大陆上的主要战略枢纽区串连了起来,其成功实施将赋予中国作为重要力量参与欧亚大陆战略态势的基本能力,并极大优化中国外部安全环境。从时间和空间两个维度分析“一带一路”的地缘战略内涵,预测“一带一路”建设中可能遇到的四大战略风险,提出“一带一路”的五大地理支点,勾勒出“一带一路”地缘战略的总体轮廓。

关键词: 一带一路, 地缘大战略, 中国崛起, 欧亚大陆

Abstract:

Currently, the rise of China has led its development history into a particular stage. With the economic interests spreading to every part of the world and facing a tighter external constraint, China has to make a geo-strategic breakthrough urgently. As the structural defect remains in the comprehensive strength of China, its global strategy should be firstly deployed in Eurasia, which has been the center of the world political arena. As the first attempt that China has made to reshape Eurasia in the new geographical and historical situation, the "One Belt and One Road" Initiative has pointed out a geographic direction for China's global strategy in the 21st century. The two "Silk Roads" run through the rimland of southern Eurasia and the heartland of central Eurasia, connecting almost total strategic pivots in this continent from east to west spatially. Its successful implementation will endow China with the ability to create the strategic position of Eurasia, greatly improve China's external security environment and expand its interests borderland. From the spatial dimension and the time dimension, this paper analyzes the geo-strategic meaning of the "One Belt and One Road" Initiative, predicts the four possible geo-strategic risks in its enforcement and summarizes its five geographic pivots. Based on these, the authors try to sketch the contours of the "One Belt and One Road" geo-strategy.

Key words: One Belt and One Road, grand geo-strategy, rise of China, Eurasia

杜德斌, 马亚华. “一带一路”：中华民族复兴的地缘大战略[J]. 地理研究, 2015, 34(6): 1005-1014.

Debin DU, Yahua MA. One Belt and One Road: The grand geo-strategy of China's rise[J]. GEOGRAPHICAL RESEARCH, 2015, 34(6): 1005-1014.

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