地理研究 ›› 2016, Vol. 35 ›› Issue (12): 2347-2362.doi: 10.11821/dlyj201612013
吴江1,2(), 张秀香1, 叶玲翠1,3(
), 黄震方1,2, 曹芳东1,2
收稿日期:
2016-06-10
修回日期:
2016-09-01
出版日期:
2016-12-23
发布日期:
2017-01-05
作者简介:
作者简介:吴江(1972- ),男,江苏盐城人,博士,副教授,硕士生导师,主要从事旅游地理与旅游规划研究。E-mail:
基金资助:
Jiang WU1,2(), Xiuxiang ZHANG1, Lingcui YE1,3(
), Zhenfang HUANG1,2, Fangdong CAO1,2
Received:
2016-06-10
Revised:
2016-09-01
Online:
2016-12-23
Published:
2017-01-05
摘要:
采用季节指数、滤波分析和集中指数、饱和曲线与峰值指数等方法,对林芝地区旅游客流波动特征从年际、月份和日变化三个尺度进行分析。结果表明:1990年-2014年,林芝地区旅游接待总人数呈现大幅度增长,绝大比例来自国内旅游;旅游发展经历了探索期(1990-2000年)、参与期(2001-2006年)和发展期(2007年至今)三个阶段;旅游季节性波动特征明显,且季节强度指数呈现出明显的“倒V”型,其中每年5月-10月为旅游旺季;相对于季节波动地区日变化更为突出,在五一、端午、十一等小长假期间出现高峰且节假日客流分布集中。分析认为,国家和地方的政策制度、交通可达性、突发事件对林芝地区旅游的发展影响很大,造成入林客流量不同程度的波动变化。
吴江, 张秀香, 叶玲翠, 黄震方, 曹芳东. 不同时间尺度周期的旅游客流量波动特征研究——以西藏林芝市为例[J]. 地理研究, 2016, 35(12): 2347-2362.
Jiang WU, Xiuxiang ZHANG, Lingcui YE, Zhenfang HUANG, Fangdong CAO. A time scale study on the tourist flow in Nyingchi, Tibet[J]. GEOGRAPHICAL RESEARCH, 2016, 35(12): 2347-2362.
表4
特殊时段客流规模及其比重与分布集中度和峰值指数"
时段 | 桃花节 | 清明节 | 五一 | 端午节 | 中秋节 | 国庆节 | G指标 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2013年 | 客流规模(人次) | 10377 | 5104 | 9068 | 19502 | 18947 | 38224 | 48.56 |
客流规模比例(%) | 10.25 | 5.04 | 8.96 | 19.27 | 18.72 | 37.76 | ||
峰值指数 | 0.2428 | 0.1733 | 0.1907 | 0.4898 | 0.2522 | 1 | ||
2014年 | 客流规模(人次) | 11476 | 6219 | 9964 | 19551 | 16943 | 38998 | 48.08 |
客流规模比例(%) | 11.13 | 6.03 | 9.66 | 18.95 | 16.43 | 37.81 | ||
峰值指数 | 0.2352 | 0.1681 | 0.1681 | 0.4987 | 0.2878 | 1 |
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