地理研究 ›› 2017, Vol. 36 ›› Issue (12): 2305-2320.doi: 10.11821/dlyj201712003

• 研究论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

“一带一路”沿线国家油气资源分布格局及其与中国合作中的相互依赖关系

赵亚博1(), 刘晓凤1, 葛岳静1,2()   

  1. 1. 北京师范大学地理科学学部,北京 100875
    2. 中国西南地缘环境与边疆发展协同创新中心,昆明 650500
  • 收稿日期:2017-07-04 修回日期:2017-09-12 出版日期:2017-12-15 发布日期:2017-12-15
  • 作者简介:

    作者简介:赵亚博(1988- ),男,河南南阳人,博士生,主要从事全球化与地缘环境研究。E-mail:zhaoyabo3@163.com

  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金项目(41171097,41401157);云南师范大学中国西南地缘环境与边疆发展协同创新中心开放课题

Analysis of the oil and gas resource distribution pattern along the Belt and Road and the interdependence relationship with China

Yabo ZHAO1(), Xiaofeng LIU1, Yuejing GE1,2()   

  1. 1. Faculty of Geographical Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China
    2. Collaborative Innovation Center for Geopolitical Setting of Southwest China and Borderland Development, Yunnan Normal University, Kunming 650500, China
  • Received:2017-07-04 Revised:2017-09-12 Online:2017-12-15 Published:2017-12-15

摘要:

油气资源合作是“一带一路”倡议的重要内容。分析“一带一路”沿线国家油气资源的分布格局,并采用保障度、依赖度、相互依赖度等指标,对2000年以来中国与沿线国家油气合作中的相互依赖关系进行解析。研究发现:沿线国家的油气资源在空间上形成了以俄罗斯和中东为双中心的分布格局,区域上主要集中在西亚、北非19国和蒙俄地区,国别上的前三位分别是沙特阿拉伯、伊朗、伊拉克和伊朗、俄罗斯、卡塔尔;石油合作中,沙特阿拉伯、俄罗斯对中国的保障度较高,而蒙古、阿曼、也门则极度依赖于中国,除沙特阿拉伯与俄罗斯外,其他国家均处于相对被动地位;天然气合作中,土库曼斯坦在对中国高保障度的同时也极度依赖于中国,而除卡塔尔与俄罗斯外,其他国家均处于相对被动地位。由此,中国应采取差异化策略、借力亚投行平台、加强与沿线国家的互联互通、打造油气合作共同体等方式以促进沿线油气合作。

关键词: “一带一路”, 油气资源, 合作, 相互依赖, 中国

Abstract:

The Belt and Road Initiative is not only a global strategy of China, but also a win-win Chinese scheme to promote global cooperation. To create a mutual beneficial nonzero and new game pattern, it is an international cooperation strategy to take the economic trade as the carrier, the global interconnection as the core concept and the mutual benefit as the basic purpose. The space mismatch and imbalance of the production and consumption as well as the supply and demand of oil and gas resource promote the cross-region cooperation on oil and gas. As China is the largest energy consumer and import country in the world, studies on the oil and gas cooperation between China and the countries along the Belt and Road are of great significance to promote the Belt and Road construction and to guarantee the oil and gas security of China. What is status of the energy relationship between China and the countries along the route? And what is spatial pattern formed? These are the questions that this paper attempts to answer. Firstly, this paper analyzes the distribution pattern of oil and gas along the route. Subsequently, indexes like guarantee degree, dependency degree and interdependence degree are applied to examine the interdependence relationship between China and the countries along the route on oil and gas. Finally, the conclusions are drawn as follows: (1) The spatial distribution of oil and gas resources along the route presents a pattern with two centers of Russia and the Middle East. (2) The main distribution areas are concentrated in 19 countries in Western Asia, the Middle East, Mongolia and Russia, of which Saudi Arab, Iran, Iraq and Iran, Russia, and Qatar are top countries with the most abundant oil and gas. (3) In terms of oil cooperation, the guarantee degree of Saudi Arab and Russia to China is relatively high, while Mongolia, Oman and Yemen are extremely dependent on China. Except Saudi Arab and Russia, most countries are passive in the oil relationship with China. (4) As for the gas cooperation, Turkmenistan is both of high guarantee degree and high dependency degree on China. Most countries, except Qatar and Russia, are passive in the gas relationship with China. Based on the above result, the paper proposes the following suggestions: China should adopt different strategies on different types of countries with the aid of the platform of the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB), promote oil and gas cooperation with countries along the route by strengthening the interconnection and building cooperation community. Besides, strengthening the intensity of investment and purchase of oil and gas resources in the countries along the Belt and Road can provide long-term guarantee for the oil and gas security of China. What’s more, enhancing the sea defense is another approach to guarantee the oil and gas security as well as the transport passages, ensuring sailing safety and achieving a security pattern that it is safe to both land and sea.

Key words: the Belt and Road Initiative, oil and gas resource, cooperation, interdependence, China