地理研究 ›› 2018, Vol. 37 ›› Issue (8): 1609-1623.doi: 10.11821/dlyj201808011
收稿日期:
2018-03-08
修回日期:
2018-05-15
出版日期:
2018-08-20
发布日期:
2018-08-20
作者简介:
作者简介:刘涛(1987- ),安徽宿州人,博士,研究员,研究方向为城镇化、土地开发、人口迁移。E-mail:
基金资助:
Tao LIU1,2(), Qiujie SHI3, Yu WANG4,5(
), Yu YANG6,7
Received:
2018-03-08
Revised:
2018-05-15
Online:
2018-08-20
Published:
2018-08-20
About author:
Author: Shi Zhenqin (1988-), PhD, specialized in regional development and land space management in mountain areas. E-mail:
*Corresponding author: Deng Wei (1957-), Professor, specialized in mountain environment and regional development.
E-mail:
摘要:
描绘了1996-2006年间中国城乡建设用地增长及其占用耕地的时空特征,探讨了城乡建设占用耕地的驱动机制。研究发现:人口流动为主的城镇化模式导致农业转移人口在城乡“两头占地”,这是中国城乡建设用地持续扩张的主要根源;各类开发区的设立和扩张都以占用耕地为主,对城乡建设占用耕地的贡献超过一半;而城市和镇的扩张速度更慢、土地来源更为多元。实证结果表明,投资和产出增长的差异性对城乡建设及其耕地占用的时空格局起到了关键作用;中西部地区的基础设施建设占用了大量耕地,但对区域经济发展和人口集聚的带动作用有限;以开发区为载体的产业集聚发展模式有利于中西部地区的土地集约利用和耕地保护,而东部沿海地区的省级开发区则容易成为地方政府的圈地运动。土地集约利用和耕地保护政策应重点解决农业转移人口城乡同时占地的问题,发挥城镇化的节地效应,并强化政策的区域差异性和针对性。
刘涛, 史秋洁, 王雨, 杨宇. 中国城乡建设占用耕地的时空格局及形成机制[J]. 地理研究, 2018, 37(8): 1609-1623.
Tao LIU, Qiujie SHI, Yu WANG, Yu YANG. Urban-rural development and occupation of cultivated land in China: Trends, geography, and drivers[J]. GEOGRAPHICAL RESEARCH, 2018, 37(8): 1609-1623.
表1
1996-2006年中国城乡建设用地结构及其变化"
面积(千hm2) | 变化 | 结构(%) | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1996 | 2006 | 面积(千hm2) | 百分比(%) | 1996 | 2006 | 变化 | |||
城乡建设用地 | 21875 | 24183 | 2309 | 10.6 | 100.0 | 100.0 | |||
城镇建设用地 | 5418 | 7623 | 2205 | 40.7 | 24.8 | 31.5 | 6.8 | ||
城市用地 | 1386 | 1999 | 612 | 44.2 | 6.3 | 8.3 | 1.9 | ||
建制镇用地 | 1263 | 1817 | 554 | 43.9 | 5.8 | 7.5 | 1.7 | ||
独立工矿用地 | 2769 | 3807 | 1038 | 37.5 | 12.7 | 15.7 | 3.1 | ||
农村居民点用地 | 16457 | 16561 | 104 | 0.6 | 75.2 | 68.5 | -6.8 |
表4
面板数据回归估计结果"
I全样本 | II沿海省份 | III内陆省份 | |
---|---|---|---|
GDP | 26.90 (10.54)** | -11.73 (21.01) | 33.91 (12.53)*** |
POP | -6.32 (62.01) | 104.44 (101.34) | 25.98 (106.06) |
INV | 7.13 (1.79)*** | 21.21 (4.91)*** | 1.11 (1.49) |
PCGDP | -3.98 (2.29)* | -13.50 (4.58)*** | 2.40 (2.31) |
IND | 10.00 (22.92) | 28.56 (81.94) | 19.92 (16.56) |
SER | 60.13 (23.13)*** | 113.06 (95.77) | 46.21 (15.94)*** |
EXP | 0.09 (0.01)*** | 0.10 (0.02)*** | -0.07 (0.04) |
URB | -0.46 (0.26)* | -0.77 (0.44)* | 0.23 (0.28) |
RUR | -6.35 (1.19)*** | -6.72 (1.71)*** | -0.08 (2.96) |
REG | -1.59 (0.77)** | -1.96 (2.50) | -1.84 (0.58)*** |
EDZN | -0.77 (0.42)* | -0.62 (0.85) | -0.82 (0.36)** |
EDZP | 0.13 (0.06)** | 0.48 (0.16)*** | 0.00 (0.04) |
常数项 | 0.25 (13.46) | -13.42 (29.44) | -26.80 (13.43)** |
观测数 | 217 | 77 | 140 |
调整后R2 | 0.542 | 0.552 | 0.466 |
F | 18.29*** | 11.05*** | 4.96*** |
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