地理研究 ›› 1988, Vol. 7 ›› Issue (4): 70-77.doi: 10.11821/yj1988040009

• 研究报告 • 上一篇    下一篇

辉南县农业生产系统的动态模拟

余思德   

  1. 中国科学院成都地理研究所
  • 收稿日期:1987-09-08 修回日期:1988-05-15 出版日期:1988-12-15 发布日期:1988-12-15

DYNAMIC SIMULATION OF THE AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION SYSTEM IN HUINAN COUNTY

Yu Side   

  1. Chengdu Institute of Geography, Academia Sinica
  • Received:1987-09-08 Revised:1988-05-15 Online:1988-12-15 Published:1988-12-15

摘要: 本文分析辉南县农业资源条件和农业生产系统存在的问题,利用系统动力学的理论方法,建立该县农业生产系统长期发展的动态仿真模型,提出了辉南县农业发展的合理方案.

关键词: 农业生产系统, 动态仿真模型

Abstract: In order to establish a stable and high-efficient agricultural production system (APS) in Huinan county, and to control the dynamic behaviour in the future, this paper, analyzes first the physical conditions and the problems of the APS in the present time, and then establishes the longterm and dynamic development model of the APS with the theory and method of system dynamicsThe following points are defined through studies.1).The agricultural resourses of the APS in Huinan county are very rich, but they are not utilized fully and effectively.There are still a lot of problems in the APS, and the present decision of agriculture is not satisfactory for the APS.2).In the future, the first important task is to raise the economic effect of the APS, and pay much attention to both ecologic effect and social effect.According to the analysis of the simulation results, the "Comprehensive Development Plan" is the best play for the APS in Huinan county.

Key words: agricultural production system, longterm and dynamic development model