地理研究

地理研究 ›› 1992, Vol. 11 ›› Issue (3): 22-26.doi: 10.11821/yj1992030005

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

湖北山区气候灾害度及灾变的灰色预测

马乃孚, 倪国裕   

  1. 湖北省气象科学研究所
  • 出版日期:1992-09-15 发布日期:1992-09-15

GREY PREDICTION OF DEGREE AND CHANGE OF CLIMATIC DISASTER IN MOUNTAIN AREAS OF HUBEI PROVINCE

Ma Naifu, Ni Guoyu   

  1. Meteorological Institute of Hubei Province
  • Online:1992-09-15 Published:1992-09-15

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摘要： 本文从气候灾害度和灰色预测的计算实例,同时得出1988年是少有的干旱高温年,说明这两种方法在山区气候灾害定量分析和预测上是可行的。

关键词: 湖北山区, 气候灾害度, 灰色预测

Abstract: This paper calculates the degree of climatic disaster of a district through grey prediction and concludes that 1988 was an uncommon year of dryness and high temperature. It is clear that this method is feasible in analysing and predicting climatic disaster by quantity in mountain areas.

Key words: mountain area, Hubei province, degree of climatic disaster, grey prediction