地理研究

地理研究 ›› 1996, Vol. 15 ›› Issue (1): 22-29.doi: 10.11821/yj1996010003

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

淮河流域洪涝特征初步研究

周寅康   

  1. 南京大学大地海洋科学系 南京 210093
  • 收稿日期:1995-02-20 修回日期:1995-10-23 出版日期:1996-03-15 发布日期:1996-03-15

A PRELIMINARY STUDY ON THE CHARACTERISTICS OF FLOODS IN HUAIHE RIVER BASIN

Zhou Yinkang   

  1. Dept. of Geography, Univ. of Nanjing, Nanjing, 210093
  • Received:1995-02-20 Revised:1995-10-23 Online:1996-03-15 Published:1996-03-15

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41 | 16

摘要： 本文以《中国近五百年旱涝分布图集》为基础,采用一定的洪涝指标计算方法,建立了淮河流域近500年洪涝序列。在此基础上,从统计特征、时序特征和分形特征等方面讨论了淮河流域洪涝的基本特征。分析表明,淮河流域各等级洪涝具有较高的发生频次,且具有相对集中性特点和一定的持续发生机率;淮河流域洪涝具有不同长度的阶段性或周期性,存在约460年、150年和60-80年的周期及一些更小尺度的波动;淮河流域洪涝具有一定标度范围内的统计分形特征,时间分维值随洪涝强度的增加而降低,与洪涝周期呈反相关关系。时间分维是描述洪涝特征的一个较好的物理量,可能对揭示洪涝规律和进行有效预报具有重要作用。

关键词: 淮河流域, 洪涝, 指标, 分形, 分维

Abstract: On the basis of the" atlas of yearly dryness/wetness in China for last 500-year period",the time series of floods in the Huaihe River Basin during 1470-1991 are established according to the flood index which considers the contribution of different flood area and different flood grade. Some characteristics of floods including statistical features, time series features and fractal features in the Huaihe River Basin for the last 500-year period are analysed according to the flood series. The analysis shows that the floods in the Huaihe River Basin have a relatively high frequncy and also have the features of simultaneous occurrence and successive occurrence.They have the periods with different time spans which are about 460-year,150-year and 60-80 years and some shorter time span oscillations.They also have time fractal featues in some scalling ranges. The time fractal dimension is decreasing with the increasing of the flood grade.It is inversely proportional to the periods of floods and may become an importment parameter in the study of floods.

Key words: Huaihe River Basin, Flood, Index, Fractal, Fractal dimension

PACS: 

  • P343