地理研究 ›› 1999, Vol. 18 ›› Issue (4): 373-381.doi: 10.11821/yj1999040007

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

区域调水规模的指标体系与PRED综合论证

陈建耀, 于静洁   

  1. 中国科学院地理研究所, 北京 100101
  • 收稿日期:1998-12-01 修回日期:1999-09-02 发布日期:2013-01-18
  • 通讯作者: 陈建耀(1966- ),男,福建仙游人,博士,副研究员,主要从事水文、水资源方面的研究,发表论文20余篇。
  • 基金资助:

    中国科学院“九五”重大A(KZ951-A1-203)

The index system of regional water transfer scale and its PRED synthetic analysis

CHEN Jian-yao, YU Jing-jie   

  1. Institute of Geography, CAS, Beijing 100101, China
  • Received:1998-12-01 Revised:1999-09-02 Published:2013-01-18

摘要: 初步提出了论证区域调水规模的指标体系及基于此的人口(P)、资源(R)、环境(E)与发展(D)的PRED综合论证的思路。以北京市水资源开发利用为案例,由传统的供需分析和以人为中心的PRED综合协调分析分别对北京市的用水及趋势作了论证,二者相互印证,分析结果较为可靠。通过分析得到,北京市水资源可维持现状下的开发利用。

关键词: 区域调水规模, 指标体系, PRED论证

Abstract: This paper put forward an index system based on the harmonious development among population, resources, environment and development to analyze the regional water transfer scale. A case study on water resources exploitation and use of Beijing was carried out. The present and future water demand of Beijing city was analyzed by conventional supply-demand method and human-dominant PRED synthetic analysis method, and a relatively reliable result was got by mutually verifying the two method. The result shows that the water resources of Beijing city can support the status quo development.

Key words: Regional water transfer scale, index system, PRED synthetic analysis

PACS: 

  • TV213