地理研究

地理研究 ›› 2006, Vol. 25 ›› Issue (2): 185-192.doi: 10.11821/yj2006020001

• 论文 •    下一篇

上海的GDP一般增长核算与绿色GDP核算

王铮1,3, 刘扬2, 周清波1   

  1. 1. 华东师范大学地理信息科学重点实验室,北京100081;
    2. 中国农业科学院农业部资源遥感与数字农业重点开放实验室 上海200062;
    3. 中科院政策与管理研究所,北京100080
  • 收稿日期:2005-06-08 修回日期:2005-10-28 出版日期:2006-04-15 发布日期:2006-04-15
  • 作者简介:王铮(1954-),男,云南陆良人,研究员,博士生导师。主要研究方向:理论地理学、地理信息科学 与区域管理。
  • 基金资助:

    上海市“重中之重”学科建设项目资助

Research on Shanghai's general growth accounting and green GDP accounting

WANG Zheng1,3, LIU Yang2, ZHOU Qing-bo1   

  1. 1. Key Laboratory of Geographic Information Science,East China Normal University,Shanghai200062,China;
    2. Key Lab of Resource Remote Sensing and Digital Agriculture,Ministry of Agriculture,CAAS,Beijing 100081,China;
    3. Institute of Policy and Management,CAS,Beijing 100080,China
  • Received:2005-06-08 Revised:2005-10-28 Online:2006-04-15 Published:2006-04-15

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摘要：

本文引用Barro的增长核算模型和Asheim的绿色GDP核算模型,对上海的经济增长开展了核算研究。研究发现:1)在改革开放之前,上海的经济增长基本上由资本投入、人力资源的有效投入和劳动力投入支持。改革开放以后经济增长得益于技术进步,但是税收政策干扰了这种增长。2)上海市绿色NNP值低于GDP值,GDP值是绿色NNP值的24倍,在20世纪60、70、80年代一直都维持在3倍以上。目前,上海市的GDP与绿色NNP之间的差距缩小到了2倍左右,说明人们对环境污染和资源耗损问题的关注,已体现到上海市的经济发展中。3)在目前阶段,绿色GDP不适合单独作为经济发展的度量指标,但是可以作为衡量经济发展对环境的影响及对资源的损耗和对GDP指标不足的重要补充。

关键词: 上海, 经济增长, 核算, 绿色GDP

Abstract:

According to the theory of economic growth and economic growth accounting models(Barro,1999),we conduct a research on the general economic growth accounting for Shanghai,and in order to analyze the sustainable development problems such as green economic growth accounting,we make a study of the green GDP economic growth accounting models(Asheim,2000).Some important results concerning the calculation research on the economic growth of Shanghai are obtained.Firstly,before implementing reform and opening policy,the achievement of Shanghai's economic growth was mostly supported by the input of capital,human resources and labors.And wage policy ensured the input of human resources because of planned economy,but it failed to cause technological progress.After the reform and opening,the achievement of Shanghai's economic growth was benefited from the technological progress caused by some reasons such as institutional innovation and so on,but interfered by the revenue policy.Secondly,Shanghai's green NNP value is far lower than the GDP value,and the latter is at least 2 to 4 times of the former.The ratio between Shanghai's GDP value and green NNP value was maintained more than 3 times that in the 1960s, 1970s and 1980s.In recent years,the ratio reduced to a relatively rational level,being around 2 times between Shanghai's GDP value and green NNP value.This shows that people have awared to pay more attention to the environmental problems and resource wasting problems,and have taken actions to protect environment and reduce resource wasting.Thirdly,at present,we believe that,because of the accounting results of Shanghai's green NNP,green GDP should not be used as a unique index of measuring economic development,but it can be used as an index of measuring the effect on environment and the wasting of resource by economic development as well as a supplement for the GDP index.

Key words: Shanghai, economic growth, accounting, green GDP