地理研究 ›› 2007, Vol. 26 ›› Issue (3): 599-608.doi: 10.11821/yj2007030021

• 城市与乡村 • 上一篇    下一篇

全球化背景下的南京港城关联发展效应分析

梁双波1,2,3, 曹有挥1, 吴 威1,2, 曹卫东1,2,3, 苑惠丽4, 李传武3   

  1. 1. 中国科学院南京地理与湖泊研究所,南京 210008;
    2. 中国科学院研究生院,北京 100039;
    3. 安徽师范大学国土资源与旅游学院,芜湖 241003;
    4. 滨州学院地理旅游系,山东 滨州 256603
  • 收稿日期:2006-09-02 修回日期:2007-02-23 出版日期:2007-05-25 发布日期:2007-05-25
  • 作者简介:梁双波(1979-), 男, 山东海阳人, 博士研究生。研究方向为区域经济与运输地理。 E-mail :liangshuangbo890@163.com
  • 基金资助:

    国家自然科学基金项目(40171023;40471030); 教育部科学技术重点项目(03058)

The effect analysis of Nanjing city-port interactive development under the background of globalization

LIANG Shuang-bo1,2,3, CAO You-hui1, WU Wei1,2, CAO Wei-dong1,2,3, YUAN Hui-li4, LI Chuan-wu3   

  1. 1. Nanjing Institute of Geography and Limnology, CAS, Nanjing 210008,China;
    2. Graduate School of the Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100039, China;
    3. College of Territorial Resources and Tourism, Anhui Normal University, Wuhu 241003,China;
    4. Geography Tourism Faculty, Binzhou University, Binzhou 256603,China
  • Received:2006-09-02 Revised:2007-02-23 Online:2007-05-25 Published:2007-05-25
  • Supported by:

    国家自然科学基金项目(40171023;40471030); 教育部科学技术重点项目(03058)

摘要: 运用灰色关联分析法,通过计算港城关联发展的均值关联度,对近10年南京港城关联发展效应进行了定量测度。研究结果表明:南京港城关联发展效应总体上比较显著,但具有明显的阶段性,其中: 1990年到1994年,港城关联发展效应呈弱化状态,1994年到1998年呈强化态势,1998年以后则呈现明显的弱化趋势。城市产业结构的变动、港口功能的演变、周围港口的激烈竞争以及港口管理体制和国际贸易的发展是导致上述动态特征的成因机制。

关键词: 全球化, 港城关系, 灰色关联分析, 均值关联度

Abstract: It is of great significance, both theorefically and practically, to study the change of the port-city relationships. Under the background of globalization, the relationships between ports and cities have become more complicated and subtle than at any time, and can be summarized as follows: Firstly, the relationships based on handling cargoes have decreased, while financing trade relationships are increasing. Secondly, the change tendencies of different ports-cities may vary from one to another. In this paper, the author first analyzes the associative structure between port and city, and then use gray correlative analysis to measure the effect of Nanjing port-city interactive development under the background of globalization. A practical formula of the mean associative degree (MAD) is designed for determining the direction and degree of dynamic change of the port-city associative degree. By calculating the concerned statistics from 1990 to 2001, it can be clearly seen that MAD in 1990 is 0.68679, which is relatively high, then there appeared a steady tendency to drop. In 1994, MAD reached its minimum which is 0.63763, following a steady tendency to rise. In 1998, MAD reached its maximum which is 0.8853. But then an evident drop took place. According to these results, the authors hold that there are two obvious features of the effect: (1) On the whole, the effect of Nanjing port-city interactive development is relatively notable. (2) There are obvious differences in the change tendencies of the effect in the 3rd phase.A systematic analysis has been carried out on the formation causes of the effect change of Nanjing city-port interactive development. This paper holds that the following factors have profound implications on it: the change of industrial structure of Nanjing, the changing function of Nanjing port, the intense competition between the ports all around, the administrative system of port and the development of international trade.

Key words: globalization, port-city relationships, gray correlative analysis, mean associative degree