地理研究

地理研究 ›› 2007, Vol. 26 ›› Issue (4): 685-692.doi: 10.11821/yj2007040005

• 经济与区域发展 • 上一篇    下一篇

区域水资源与经济社会耦合系统 可持续发展的量化分析

关 伟   

  1. 辽宁师范大学城市与环境学院,大连 116029
  • 收稿日期:2006-10-24 修回日期:2007-05-22 出版日期:2007-07-25 发布日期:2007-07-25
  • 作者简介:关伟(1959-),男,辽宁岫岩人,博士,教授。主要从事区域发展与产业经济研究。 E-mail :lsgw2000@sina.com
  • 基金资助:

    国家高技术研究发展计划(863计划)项目(2003AA601050)

The data analysis of regional water resources and economic society coupling system sustainable development

GUAN Wei   

  1. College of Urban and Environment,Liaoning Normal University,Dalian 116029,China
  • Received:2006-10-24 Revised:2007-05-22 Online:2007-07-25 Published:2007-07-25
  • Supported by:

    国家高技术研究发展计划(863计划)项目(2003AA601050)

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118 | 12

摘要： 通过对水资源－生态环境－经济社会耦合系统互动关系的分析和对该耦合系统可持续发展模式的探讨,利用模糊优选模型将多个评价指标转化为单一指标,采用模糊隶属度描述可持续度来衡量复杂水资源系统可持续发展水平的评价方法,并结合辽宁省水资源开发与利用的实际情况,研究区域水资源可持续利用与经济社会协调发展的关系。研究结果表明,目前辽宁水资源系统可持续发展水平相对较低(全省水资源系统的可持续度仅为0.2456),尚有较大的开发潜力和提升空间。研究成果可为辽宁省水资源可持续利用及其管理提供定量的决策依据。

关键词: 区域, 水生态, 水资源－生态环境－经济社会耦合系统, 可持续度, 辽宁省

Abstract: Rapid development of economic society benefits the human race, but deteriorates basin environment to a certain extent. At present, the shortage of water resources and the pollution of water environment affect the development of human society, economy and culture seriously. It is very important and necessary to enhance sustainable usage of water resources and ensure sustainable development of economic society. The traditional management theory on complex water environment and resources system understands the integrated management model incorrectly and neglects the fuzziness both in the thought of human being and objective phenomenon. Based on the theory of Engineering Fuzzy Sets suggested by Professor CHEN Shouyu, a new assessing method and its corresponding model for assessing the Liaoning provincial sustainable development degree is proposed and the procedure for calculation is presented in detail. Firstly the paper discusses the relationship of aquatic economy-ecosystem environment-economic coupling system and the sustainable development mode of this coupling system, and brings forward sustainable development degree measuring sustainable development status with fuzzy mathematics subjection degree. Secondly, the paper discusses the sustainable development assessing method of the complex water environment and resources system. The author thinks that the relative membership degree of Fuzzy Sets can be used to describe the sustainable development situation. The paper gives the definition and the calculating method of sustainable development degree. The author studies the sustainable development degree of Liaoning Province, researching the relationship between sustainable development of water resources and economic society, considering the present situation of water resources in Liaoning Province. The result shows the sustainable development ability of water resources is low (the sustainable development degree of water resources in Liaoning Province is 0.2456), and there are some exploring potentials and advancing space. The case study shows that the proposed method is more reasonable and its calculating method is very simple. It can also be used in various assessment fields. The result verifies that the method and its corresponding model are reliable and easy to be used. At the same time, the study can also provide decision-making support for sustainable usage and management of water resources in Liaoning Province.

Key words: region, water resources, aquatic ecosystem-ecosystem environment-economic coupling system, sustainable development degree, Liaoning Province