地理研究

地理研究 ›› 2007, Vol. 26 ›› Issue (5): 1055-1066.doi: 10.11821/yj2007050022

• 城市与乡村 • 上一篇    

转型期广州市居住迁移影响因素于户籍之间的比较

刘望保1, 闫小培2   

  1. 1. 华南师范大学地理科学学院,广州 510000;
    2. 中山大学城市与区域研究中心,广州 510275
  • 收稿日期:2006-12-21 修回日期:2007-05-22 出版日期:2007-09-25 发布日期:2007-09-25
  • 作者简介:刘望保 (1975-),男,博士,教师。研究方向为城市地理学。E-mail: liufeng09023@126.com *通讯作者 : 闫小培,女,教授,博士生导师。主要从事信息产业与城市发展、城市内部空间结构研究。
  • 基金资助:

    国家杰出青年科学基金资助项目(40125003);香港浸会大学基金项目资助(HKBU2080/99H)

Comparison of influencing factors for residential mobility between different household register types in transitional urban China:A case study of Guangzhou

LIU Wang-bao1, YAN Xiao-pei2   

  1. 1. College of Geography Science, South China Normal University, Guangzhou 510000, China;
    2. Center for Urban and Regional Studies, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou 510275, China
  • Received:2006-12-21 Revised:2007-05-22 Online:2007-09-25 Published:2007-09-25
  • Supported by:

    国家杰出青年科学基金资助项目(40125003);香港浸会大学基金项目资助(HKBU2080/99H)

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摘要： 住房制度改革以来,中国城市居住迁移率大规模增加,成为城市重构和社会空间分异的基础动力。利用生命历程理论,通过家庭问卷调查,本文使用事件史模型动态地模拟了居住迁移,并比较外来人口与本地人口居住迁移影响因素的差异。整体来看,1980年以来年均居住迁移率呈上升趋势,外来人口的年均居住迁移率要比本地人口高。住房性质、婚姻变化、工作变动、居住区位和年份等变量都显著影响居住迁移,反映了住房制度改革、住房市场和分配环境、家庭生命周期等因素对居住迁移的影响;但影响程度户籍间的差异明显,工作地区位的变动导致通勤成本的变化是外来人口居住迁移的最显著影响因子,而家庭生命周期和住房特征变量是本地人口居住迁移的最显著影响变量,反映了两者之间的本质差别。居住区位对本地人口的居住迁移影响显著,内圈层居民的迁移率相对较低,而居住区位变量对外来人口的影响相对较弱。

关键词: 居住迁移, 生命历程, 影响因素, 户籍

Abstract: As a more and more important statistic method in studies of residential mobility, longitudinal analysis could dynamically simulate residential mobility because this analysis could relate residential mobility to not only specific events or triggers in personal or household's life, such as marriage change and the birth of a child, but also the main changes of housing market in a broader social and economic context. Making use of survey data collected in Guangzhou in 2005 and forming personal-year longitudinal data spanning from 1980 to 2005, the longitudinal analysis results show that residential mobility rate manifests a rising trend from 1980 to 2005 with close connection with housing reform process.Non-native population has evidently higher mobility rate than native population because non-native population has higher rate of employment change, leading to big probability of residential mobility. Housing types, marital status change, job change and time variable indicating the housing form process, housing market and distributional environment and household's life cycle respectively all have significant effects on residential mobility of non-native and native population, but the significant extent has big differences. Life-cycle change is more significant in causing residential mobility of native population, but job change which will change the commuting cost is more significant for the non-native population, indicating the essential differences between the non-native and the native population. Residential location has significant impacts on native population's residential mobility with higher probability of residential mobility of those who reside in the suburban area, but has insignificant impacts on residential mobility of the non-native population.

Key words: residential mobility, longitudinal analysis, household registration