地理研究 ›› 2009, Vol. 28 ›› Issue (1): 182-190.doi: 10.11821/yj2009010020

• 经济与区域发展 • 上一篇    下一篇

广东省邮电通信业发展空间差异变动

曹小曙, 李琳娜   

  1. 中山大学地理科学与规划学院, 广州 510275
  • 收稿日期:2008-06-12 修回日期:2008-11-15 发布日期:2010-11-20
  • 作者简介:曹小曙(1970-),男,甘肃人,博士,博士生导师。主要从事城市与交通地理研究。E-mail:caoxiaoshu964@sohu.com 李琳娜(1986-),女,湖南邵阳人,研究生。主要从事区域发展与城乡规划研究。
  • 基金资助:

    国家自然科学基金资助(40571052)

Study on spatial disparities of post and telecommunication development in Guangdong Province

CAO Xiao-shu, LI Lin-na   

  1. School of Geography and Planning, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou 510275, China
  • Received:2008-06-12 Revised:2008-11-15 Published:2010-11-20
  • Supported by:

    国家自然科学基金资助(40571052)

摘要:

利用基尼系数,分析广东省邮电通信业务量1980~2006年的变化趋势,在此基础上,选取1985年、1995年和2005年3个时间断面,利用因子分析剖析邮电业务水平的空间分布格局,并在GIS软件中表达出来,进而构建邮电通信发展指数P,反映各市的邮电通信发展速度。研究表明:广东省邮电通信业务量的分布经历了20世纪80年代的广州单中心,90年代初的广州、深圳双中心,90年代中以来的广州、深圳、佛山、东莞两主两副四中心,朝着多极化方向发展。邮电通信水平的空间格局则经历了"均衡—不均衡—均衡"的发展过程,变异系数从1985年的1.574到1995年的1.870,2005年变为1.115。邮电通信发展速度1985年开始呈现出珠三角城市明显高于外围城市的格局,且高于平均水平的城市数量不断增加,范围不断扩大。通过多元回归分析得出,除政策因素以外,外商投资作用和第三产业、城市化发展水平是1980年以来影响广东省邮电通信业发展最主要的3个因素,而人口密度、交通发展水平、固定资产投资水平等对邮电通信发展的影响不显著。

关键词: 空间差异, 邮电通信业, 广东省

Abstract:

Post and telecommunications have a significant effect on both economic and social development. This paper analyzes its spatial disparities in Guangdong Province based on the data of business and infrastructure of post and telecommunications in every city of Guangdong. It explores the changing trend of business volume from 1980 to 2006 using the Geordie coefficient, and then chooses 1985, 1995 and 2005 as typical years to analyze the spatial patterns of post and telecommunications development level by factor analysis and cluster analysis in SPSS software. The results are expressed in Arc View GIS. Finally, an index P is constructed to show the rate of development of the cities in Guangdong Province. The conclusions are drawn as follows. Firstly, spatial disparities of business volume of post and telecommunications have increased with a core in the Pearl River Delta. There was a single center in Guangzhou in the 1980s, to which Shenzhen was added in the early 1990s. During the mid-1990s, two sub-centers of Foshan and Dongguan emerged. Thus the pattern became multi-polar. Secondly, increasing development was also imbalanced and went through the transition from "equity-inequity-equity" with the Geordie coefficient ranging from 1.574 in 1985, 1.870 in 1990 and down to 1.115 in 2005. At the same time, the core area was sprawling. Similarly, post and telecommunications developed faster in the cities of the Pearl River Delta than in the surrounding area. There were many cities that were developing faster than the average rate of the Pearl River Delta for the province. Furthermore, by multi-regression analysis, the main factors affecting post and telecommunications development in Guangdong Province are foreign investment, tertiary industry development and urbanization as well as policy making. However, population density, transportation infrastructure and fixed assets investment do not exert significant effects on the post and telecommunications development.

Key words: spatial disparities, post and telecommunication, Guangdong Province