地理研究

地理研究 ›› 2009, Vol. 28 ›› Issue (1): 203-214.doi: 10.11821/yj2009010022

• 经济与区域发展 • 上一篇    下一篇

东北地区市场潜力分析与区域经济发展

赵 曌1,2, 石敏俊1,2   

  1. 1. 中国科学院研究生院,北京 100049;
    2. 中国科学院虚拟经济与数据科学研究中心,北京100080
  • 收稿日期:2007-09-03 修回日期:2008-05-14 发布日期:2010-11-20
  • 作者简介:赵曌(1982 -),女,甘肃酒泉人,博士研究生,研究方向:区域经济学。 Email:zhaozhao04@mails.gucas.ac.cn。 *通讯作者 : 石敏俊(1964-),男,教授,博士生导师。Email: mjshi@gucas.ac.cn。
  • 基金资助:

    中国科学院百人计划择优支持项目"人地系统相互作用机理与空间过程研究";国家自然科学基金重点项目(40635026);北京市科委博士论文资助专项资助(ZZ0753)

An analysis on market potential and regional development in Northeast China

ZHAO Zhao1,2, SHI Min-jun1,2   

  1. 1. Graduate University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China;
    2. Research Center of Fictitious Economy and Data Sciences, CAS, Beijing 100080, China
  • Received:2007-09-03 Revised:2008-05-14 Published:2010-11-20
  • Supported by:

    中国科学院百人计划择优支持项目"人地系统相互作用机理与空间过程研究";国家自然科学基金重点项目(40635026);北京市科委博士论文资助专项资助(ZZ0753)

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摘要：

改革开放以后,东北地区经济发展呈现下滑态势。本文从市场通达性的角度,探讨了市场潜力对东北地区经济发展的影响。结果表明,东北地区内部市场潜力有较大差异,环渤海地区与其他地区有较大落差。市场潜力指数的高低与经济发展水平在空间上的伴生关系显示出东北地区内部的这种市场潜力差异是影响区域经济空间格局形成的重要因素。东北多数地区市场潜力的组成中外贸和区外市场的贡献份额较大,这与东北地区的产业发展主要依赖区内消费的现状不一致,说明东北地区具备对外联系的条件,在今后的发展中需要依托其市场通达条件基础,扩大对外经济联系,增强企业的区际贸易竞争力。现阶段东北地区主要经济中心所起到的市场带动作用还较为有限,今后需要强化经济中心的辐射功能,以带动整个区域的经济发展。

关键词: 东北地区, 市场潜力, 市场通达性, 区域经济

Abstract:

This paper analyzes market potential as an indicator of market accessibility and its effects on regional development in Northeast China, based on district-level data. The results indicate that market potential index (MPI) degrades from the southern part to the northern in Northeast China. The market potential index has a significant leap between the Liaodong Peninsula and other parts of the region. Such a geographic distribution of market potential affected the spatial concentration of manufacturing sectors. Then it contributes to the intra-regional disparity of the economic development in Northeast China. A significant spatial correlation between market potential index and intra-regional economic performance has been observed. Such a spatial correlation verified that market accessibility is one of the determinants which affects intra-regional economic development. Contribution share of market potential from exportation and out-northeast areas occupy a large portion of the total market potential index. This result indicates that Northeast China can benefit from its market accessibility. However, now production growth of most industries in Northeast China is induced by local consumption. Such an inconsistency makes it clear that the future development of Northeast should enhance economic cooperation with out-northeast areas and reinforce industrial competitiveness based on its market accessibility. As recently the economic centers have limited effects on leading regional development, it is important to enhance market attraction power of the economic centers in order to promote the economic development of Northeast China.

Key words: Northeast China, market potential, market accessibility, regional economy