• 经济与区域发展 •

### 基于相似系数和R/S分析方法的 闽台产业同构性

1. 1. 福建师范大学地理科学学院,福州 350007;
2. 海南师范大学教务处, 海口 571158
• 收稿日期:2009-02-26 修回日期:2009-09-28 出版日期:2010-03-20 发布日期:2010-03-20
• 作者简介:韦素琼 (1965-),女,福建屏南人,教授,博士。主要从事经济地理、土地资源与规划等教学科研工作。E-mail:suqiongwei@126.com。
陈艳华 (1982-),女,山西大同人。E-mail:ethereal@163.com
• 基金资助:

教育部人文社科研究规划基金项目(09YJA790044);福建省自然科学基金项目(2008J0128);福建省教育厅项目(JA07039)

### Empirical study on industrial isomorphism comparing Fujian and Taiwan provinces by the similar coefficient and R/S

WEI Su-qiong1, CHEN Yan-hua2, GEN Jing-huan1

1. 1. College of Geographical Sciences, Fujian Normal University, Fuzhou 350007, China;
2. Department of Teaching Affairs, Hainan Normal University, Haikou 571158, China
• Received:2009-02-26 Revised:2009-09-28 Online:2010-03-20 Published:2010-03-20

Abstract:

Industrial isomorphism is one of the bottlenecks to the development of regional integration and industrial promotion in economic areas. Fujian and Taiwan, which have geographical proximities and historical/cultural similarities as well as their comparable stages of economic development in different periods, were chosen to be research objects in this paper. From fields of three kinds of industries, the industry and the tertiary industry, firstly, whose present situation and change of industrial structure were analyzed by using the similar coefficient. Secondly, the trend of industrial structure would be forecasted through such a method as R/S from fractal theory. The results show that the phenomenon of industrial isomorphism in these two regions is obvious. If the three industries continue to develop under the circumstances, the level of industrial isomorphism will continue to increase, and the manufacturing industry will be fluctuant in the rising trend, while the level of industrial isomorphism decreased slowly in tertiary industry, but it will be growing in the future as a whole. However, the appearance of industrial isomorphism between Fujian and Taiwan has its own inevitability. Because of the similarity of resource, economic development and economic connection, it does a great benefit to the occurrence of industrial isomorphism. At the same time, industrial isomorphism reveals a trend that industrial division between Fujian and Taiwan has passed from vertical to horizontal. Therefore, in macroscopic view, the industrial isomorphism may not bring negative influence to the future economic cooperation between Fujian and Taiwan. With the level of the similar industrial structure increasing process, the paper put forward some suggestions on the direction of economic development and the adjustment of industrial structure for Fujian Province.