地理研究 ›› 2011, Vol. 30 ›› Issue (1): 71-82.doi: 10.11821/yj2011010007

• 经济与区域发展 • 上一篇    下一篇

城市产业集聚动力机制与模式研究的PAF模型

吴丰林1,2, 方创琳2, 赵雅萍3   

  1. 1. 中国旅游研究院,北京 100005;
    2. 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所,北京 100101;
    3. 中国社会科学院财政与贸易经济研究所,北京 100836
  • 收稿日期:2010-01-30 修回日期:2009-05-26 出版日期:2011-01-20 发布日期:2011-01-20
  • 通讯作者: 方创琳(1966-),男,甘肃庆阳人,研究员,博士生导师,主要从事城市发展与规划研究。E-mail: fangcl@igsnrr.ac.cn E-mail:fangcl@igsnrr.ac.cn
  • 作者简介:吴丰林(1981-),男,河南南阳人,博士研究生,主要从事区域与城市规划、旅游发展规划研究。E-mail: flwu0518@163.con
  • 基金资助:

    国家自然科学基金(40971101);中国科学院知识创新工程重要方向性项目(KZCX2-YW-321-05);北京市科委博士生论文自主专项(ZZ0936)

PAF model of study on urban industrial agglomeration dynamic mechanism and patterns

WU Feng-lin1,2, FANG Chuang-lin2, ZHAO Ya-ping3   

  1. 1. China Tourism Academy,Beijing, 100005,China;
    2. Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, CAS, Beijing 100101, China;
    3. Institute of Finance and Trade Economics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, Beijing 100836, China
  • Received:2010-01-30 Revised:2009-05-26 Online:2011-01-20 Published:2011-01-20

摘要: 在综述国内外相关研究的基础上,认为目前城市产业集聚动力机制与模式的研究方法尚比较薄弱,尤其是通过构建模型进行定量研究鲜有涉及。首先对城市产业集聚动力机制与模式的概念与逻辑关系进行解析;其次,应用系统论的观点,对城市产业集聚系统进行解构,将城市产业集聚系统解构为内核系统与调控系统;最后,综合矢量平行四边形法则、层次分析法和模糊隶属度函数模型,构建PAF模型。PAF模型耦合了动力机制与模式的关系,能够在定量求解的基础上,分析城市产业集聚的动力机制与所应采取的合理发展模式,并可以通过对动力的调控来实现城市产业经济的持续健康发展。

关键词: 城市产业集聚, 动力机制, 模式, 系统分析, PAF模型

Abstract: Based on the studies at home and abroad, this paper considers that the study methods of dynamics mechanism and patterns are still relatively weak. Especially, the quantitative studies by constructing models are rare. Firstly, the paper analyzes the concept of the dynamics mechanism and patterns in detail. Secondly, from the perspective of system theory, the paper divides urban industrial agglomeration system into inner system and regulative system. Finally, PAF model is constructed by coupling of the Parallelogram Law (P), Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) (A) and Fuzzy Membership Function Model (F). PAF model which couples the relation between dynamics mechanism and patterns could be used to analyze the following issues quantitatively. What is really the urban industrial agglomeration dynamics mechanism? Which is the rational development model that should be taken? And how do we regulate the dynamics mechanism to achieve the healthy development of urban economy?

Key words: urban industry agglomeration, dynamic mechanism, pattern, system analysis, PAF model