Lü Minglun, Yu Zhiqian
In economic development, "The Territorial Planning of Tibet Autonomous Region" emphasized on the double aims-sustainable rapid economic growth and industrial structure adjustment.In addition, the primary industry will be developed steadily, the secondary industry will be developed emphatically, and the tertiary industry will be developed rapidly.According to the theory of industrial economics and our practical research, we find a ruler, that is:the relationship between GNP growth rate and investment increase rate is a positive correlation, and the relationship between GNP growth rate and industrial structure change rate is a negative correlation in certain period.On the present conditions of society, economy, resources, environment and industrial structure in Tibet, we have a detailed analysis on the relationships among regional economic development, industrial structure adjustment and the supporting capacity of investment, the science and technology level of Tibet, quality of labor, recourses, and environment.According to the financial support from both central government and the local government as well as sustainable development principles of population, resources and environment, it would be very difficult to gain the double aims in the same period of time.In addition, the balance of fragile ecosystem in Tibet would be distroyed, and the natural environment in Tibet would be polluted, in case we exploit mineral and other resources on a large scale without planning.It would be a fatal disaster to Tibet.Because of the particular social and natural situations in Tibet, the social and economic development pattern in Tibet should be different from other regions.First, the non-pollution, non-loss and regenerable social and natural resources should be developed, such as Buddhist temples, folkways,forestry and so on.Second, the sustainable natural resources, such as wind energy, waterpower,geotherms, should be developed.The non-regenerable natural resources and those with pollution problems, such as coal, metal and non-metal mineral recourses should be developed at last.Our suggestions are as follows: in Tibet, the primary industry should be developed steadily, the secondary industry should be developed in the advantageous fields of Tibet, and the tertiary industry should be developed emphatically.Also, it is very important for Tibet to develop with coordination of population, resources and environment.