渤海海峡跨海通道建设对环渤海地区经济重心的影响——基于物流GDP增加值测算
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王泽东, 孙海燕, 孙峰华, 秦伟山
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Effects of construction of trans-Bohai strait passageway on economic center of gravity in the Bohai Rim
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Zedong WANG, Haiyan SUN, Fenghua SUN, Weishan QIN
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| 表2 山东省与东北地区经行渤海通道的物流交流量及GDP增加值预测（烟台→大连） |
| Tab. 2 Value added in quantity of logistics and GDP between Shandong and Northeast China through trans-Bohai strait passageway (Yantai→Dalian) |
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| 2040年 | | 2045年 | | 2050年 | | 物流交流量(万t) | | GDP增加值(万元) | | 物流交流量(万t) | GDP增加值(万元) | 物流交流量(万t) | GDP增加值(万元) | | 公路 | | | 铁路 | | | 公路 | 铁路 | 公路 | 铁路 | | 山东省 | 2571.0 | 536.0 | 129467.0 | | 2829.0 | 590.0 | 142465.8 | | 3087.0 | 644.0 | 155463.9 | | 济南市 | 230.1 | 149.8 | 1296.9 | | 253.2 | 164.9 | 1427.3 | | 276.2 | 180.0 | 1557.6 | | 青岛市 | 460.1 | 123.4 | 51225.9 | | 506.3 | 135.8 | 56369.6 | | 552.5 | 148.3 | 61513.3 | | 淄博市 | 157.5 | 41.0 | 2223.2 | | 173.3 | 45.1 | 2446.7 | | 189.2 | 49.3 | 2670.2 | | 枣庄市 | 142.9 | 29.6 | 2123.3 | | 157.3 | 32.6 | 2336.5 | | 171.6 | 35.5 | 2549.7 | | 东营市 | 138.2 | 3.4 | 943.6 | | 152.0 | 3.7 | 1038.3 | | 165.9 | 4.1 | 1133.0 | | 烟台市 | 213.9 | 17.4 | 36328.1 | | 235.3 | 19.2 | 39974.3 | | 256.8 | 21.0 | 43620.5 | | 潍坊市 | 239.7 | 16.4 | 12481.1 | | 263.8 | 18.0 | 13733.8 | | 287.9 | 19.7 | 14986.6 | | 济宁市 | 268.4 | 45.2 | 311.8 | | 295.3 | 49.8 | 343.2 | | 322.2 | 54.3 | 374.6 | | 泰安市 | 125.1 | 37.8 | 112.6 | | 137.7 | 41.6 | 123.9 | | 150.3 | 45.4 | 135.2 | | 威海市 | 65.4 | 3.5 | 10820.8 | | 71.9 | 3.8 | 11906.8 | | 78.5 | 4.2 | 12992.8 | | 日照市 | 55.1 | 41.7 | 6210.2 | | 60.6 | 45.9 | 6834.1 | | 66.1 | 50.1 | 7458.0 | | 莱芜市 | 37.7 | 8.0 | 14.5 | | 41.5 | 8.8 | 16.0 | | 45.3 | 9.6 | 17.4 | | 临沂市 | 145.8 | 11.1 | 5374.0 | | 160.5 | 12.2 | 5913.4 | | 175.1 | 13.3 | 6452.9 | | 德州市 | 73.6 | 5.1 | 0.0 | | 81.0 | 5.7 | 0.0 | | 88.4 | 6.2 | 0.0 | | 聊城市 | 52.7 | 1.6 | 0.0 | | 57.9 | 1.8 | 0.0 | | 63.2 | 1.9 | 0.0 | | 滨州市 | 65.0 | 1.0 | 1.2 | | 71.5 | 1.1 | 2.0 | | 78.0 | 1.2 | 2.2 | | 菏泽市 | 99.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | | 109.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | | 119.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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