渤海海峡跨海通道建设对环渤海地区经济重心的影响——基于物流GDP增加值测算
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王泽东, 孙海燕, 孙峰华, 秦伟山
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Effects of construction of trans-Bohai strait passageway on economic center of gravity in the Bohai Rim
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Zedong WANG, Haiyan SUN, Fenghua SUN, Weishan QIN
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| 表3 东北城市与其他省市经行渤海通道的物流交流量及GDP增加值预测（大连→烟台） |
| Tab. 3 Value added in quantity of logistics and GDP between cities in Northeast China and other provinces and cities through trans-Bohai strait passageway (Dalian→Yantai) |
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| 2040年 | | 2045年 | | 2050年 | | 物流交流量(万t) | | GDP增加值(万元) | | 物流交流量(万t) | GDP增加值(万元) | 物流交流量(万t) | GDP增加值(万元) | | 公路 | | | 铁路 | | | 公路 | 铁路 | 公路 | 铁路 | | 黑龙江省 | 1413.3 | 1149.9 | 30835.9 | | 1582.9 | 1199.1 | 34108.7 | | 1752.3 | 1247.9 | 37376.2 | | 哈尔滨市 | 371.7 | 108.4 | 7457.8 | | 416.3 | 113.1 | 8316.7 | | 460.9 | 117.7 | 9174.4 | | 齐齐哈尔市 | 223.9 | 99.0 | 3675.6 | | 250.8 | 103.2 | 4093.8 | | 277.6 | 107.4 | 4511.4 | | 鸡西市 | 104.4 | 205.2 | 2316.9 | | 116.9 | 214.0 | 2568.9 | | 129.4 | 222.7 | 2820.5 | | 鹤岗市 | 77.8 | 116.1 | 2284.3 | | 87.2 | 121.0 | 2495.8 | | 96.5 | 126.0 | 2706.7 | | 双鸭山市 | 82.3 | 89.2 | 2167.7 | | 92.2 | 93.0 | 2381.6 | | 102.1 | 96.8 | 2595.2 | | 大庆市 | 102.0 | 102.7 | 1803.0 | | 114.2 | 107.1 | 1999.1 | | 126.5 | 111.5 | 2194.9 | | 伊春市 | 22.5 | 45.0 | 790.0 | | 25.2 | 46.9 | 856.2 | | 27.9 | 48.8 | 922.2 | | 佳木斯市 | 90.9 | 38.2 | 1987.2 | | 101.8 | 39.8 | 2210.6 | | 112.7 | 41.4 | 2433.8 | | 七台河市 | 110.5 | 132.5 | 3311.1 | | 123.8 | 138.2 | 3614.0 | | 137.0 | 143.8 | 3916.2 | | 牡丹江市 | 99.1 | 137.0 | 2341.9 | | 111.0 | 142.9 | 2577.3 | | 122.8 | 148.7 | 2812.3 | | 黑河市 | 37.7 | 23.6 | 698.4 | | 42.2 | 24.6 | 782.2 | | 46.8 | 25.6 | 865.9 | | 绥化市 | 73.1 | 22.2 | 1549.3 | | 81.8 | 23.2 | 1720.1 | | 90.6 | 24.1 | 1890.6 | | 大兴安岭地区 | 17.5 | 30.8 | 452.7 | | 19.6 | 32.1 | 492.4 | | 21.7 | 33.5 | 532.1 | | 吉林省 | 1316.9 | 536.0 | 50407.1 | | 1474.9 | 559.0 | 54764.1 | | 1632.8 | 581.7 | 59109.7 | | 长春市 | 455.3 | 82.3 | 11433.1 | | 510.0 | 85.9 | 12577.3 | | 564.5 | 89.3 | 13719.4 | | 吉林市 | 173.9 | 153.2 | 8785.4 | | 194.8 | 159.7 | 9419.1 | | 215.6 | 166.2 | 10050.5 | | 四平市 | 139.1 | 34.9 | 4131.8 | | 155.7 | 36.4 | 4517.3 | | 172.4 | 37.8 | 4902.0 | | 辽源市 | 59.3 | 21.5 | 1468.8 | | 66.4 | 22.4 | 1618.0 | | 73.5 | 23.3 | 1766.9 | | 通化市 | 131.5 | 85.3 | 7482.8 | | 147.3 | 89.0 | 8145.9 | | 163.0 | 92.6 | 8807.3 | | 白山市 | 82.1 | 58.2 | 8762.0 | | 92.0 | 60.7 | 9351.1 | | 101.8 | 63.2 | 9937.8 | | 松原市 | 85.0 | 15.2 | 1713.3 | | 95.2 | 15.8 | 1882.4 | | 105.4 | 16.5 | 2051.2 | | 白城市 | 31.4 | 29.0 | 839.8 | | 35.2 | 30.3 | 906.4 | | 39.0 | 31.5 | 972.8 | | 延边朝鲜族自治州 | 159.4 | 56.5 | 5790.1 | | 178.5 | 58.9 | 6346.6 | | 197.6 | 61.3 | 6902.0 | | 辽宁省 | 4394.8 | 1283.0 | 214106.1 | | 4922.2 | 1337.9 | 238257 | | 5449.0 | 1392.4 | 262375.2 | | 沈阳市 | 820.2 | 45.1 | 15574.6 | | 918.7 | 47.0 | 17427.0 | | 1017.0 | 48.9 | 19277.1 | | 大连市 | 882.5 | 185.0 | 131627.3 | | 988.3 | 192.9 | 146468 | | 1094.1 | 200.7 | 161288.3 | | 鞍山市 | 443.6 | 131.3 | 17350.2 | | 496.9 | 136.9 | 19192.2 | | 550.0 | 142.5 | 21031.1 | | 抚顺市 | 177.1 | 132.5 | 4156.4 | | 198.4 | 138.1 | 4600.8 | | 219.6 | 143.8 | 5044.4 | | 本溪市 | 259.7 | 200.3 | 7993.1 | | 290.9 | 208.9 | 8864.6 | | 322.0 | 217.4 | 9734.7 | | 丹东市 | 164.5 | 30.0 | 10870.6 | | 184.2 | 31.2 | 12157.8 | | 204.0 | 32.5 | 13443.4 | | 锦州市 | 289.1 | 48.3 | 1043.0 | | 323.7 | 50.4 | 1166.5 | | 358.4 | 52.4 | 1289.8 | | 营口市 | 227.3 | 86.7 | 9238.6 | | 254.6 | 90.5 | 10281.9 | | 281.8 | 94.1 | 11323.8 | | 阜新市 | 171.9 | 94.4 | 1593.1 | | 192.5 | 98.4 | 1781.8 | | 213.1 | 102.4 | 1970.2 | | 辽阳市 | 202.5 | 79.1 | 6047.6 | | 226.8 | 82.5 | 6721.0 | | 251.0 | 85.9 | 7393.3 | | 盘锦市 | 199.0 | 21.9 | 3720.3 | | 222.9 | 22.8 | 4164.5 | | 246.7 | 23.7 | 4608.2 | | 铁岭市 | 189.9 | 109.5 | 4157.6 | | 212.7 | 114.1 | 4611.9 | | 235.5 | 118.8 | 5065.6 | | 朝阳市 | 162.3 | 50.3 | 526.7 | | 181.8 | 52.4 | 589.3 | | 201.2 | 54.5 | 651.7 | | 葫芦岛市 | 205.4 | 68.8 | 206.9 | | 230.0 | 71.7 | 230.3 | | 254.6 | 74.6 | 253.7 |
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