生态文明建设的路径依赖与互动关系变化——基于2003-2015年长江经济带地级市面板数据
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宓泽锋, 周灿, 朱菲菲, 曾刚
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The path dependence and relationship change of ecological civilization construction: Based on the panel data analysis of prefecture-level cities in the Yangtze River Economic Belt from 2003 to 2015
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Zefeng MI, Can ZHOU, Feifei ZHU, Gang ZENG
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| 表3 不同阶段长江经济带与锁定地区的内部相互关系变化 |
| Tab. 3 Changes in the internal relationship between the Yangtze River Economic Belt and the lock-in area at different stages |
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| 变量 | 第一阶段（2003-2007年）与第二阶段（2008-2011年）内部关系 | | 自然系统增长率 | | 经济系统增长率 | | 社会系统增长率 | | 长江经济带 | 锁定地区 | 长江经济带 | 锁定地区 | 长江经济带 | 锁定地区 | | 自然压力增长率 | - | - | | -0.552 | 0.175 | | -0.103 | 0.201 | | - | - | | (0.464) | (0.637) | | (0.173) | (0.227) | | 自然状态增长率 | - | - | | -0.121 | -0.097 | | -0.075** | -0.084** | | - | - | | (0.074) | (0.094) | | (0.023) | (0.033) | | 自然响应增长率 | - | - | | 0.458** | 0.602** | | -0.080 | -0.053 | | - | - | | (0.224) | (0.263) | | (0.088) | (0.100) | | 经济压力增长率 | -0.062 | -0.070 | | - | - | | -0.142 | -0.217 | | (0.090) | (0.118) | | - | - | | (0.128) | (0.147) | | 经济状态增长率 | -0.019 | 0.031 | | - | - | | 0.006 | 0.028 | | (0.017) | (0.024) | | - | - | | (0.024) | (0.031) | | 经济响应增长率 | -0.002 | 0.002 | | - | - | | 0.001 | 0.002 | | (0.005) | (0.006) | | - | - | | (0.007) | (0.007) | | 社会压力增长率 | -0.135*** | -0.151** | | -0.088 | -0.011 | | - | - | | (0.051) | (0.064) | | (0.188) | (0.238) | | - | - | | 社会状态增长率 | -0.073 | -0.116 | | 0.048 | -2.095** | | - | - | | (0.064) | (0.319) | | (0.235) | (0.932) | | - | - | | 社会响应增长率 | -0.018*** | -0.020*** | | 0.013 | 0.016 | | - | - | | (0.004) | (0.006) | | (0.017) | (0.023) | | - | - | | 常数项 | 3.609*** | 3.448** | | 10.100*** | 16.320*** | | 6.565*** | 5.961*** | | (0.528) | (1.555) | | (2.089) | (4.536) | | (0.607) | (0.649) | | 变量 | 第二阶段（2008-2011年）与第三阶段（2012-2015年）内部关系 | | 自然系统增长率 | | 经济系统增长率 | | 社会系统增长率 | | 长江经济带 | 锁定地区 | 长江经济带 | 锁定地区 | 长江经济带 | 锁定地区 | | 自然压力增长率 | - | - | | 0.127 | -0.085 | | 0.052 | 0.154 | | - | - | | (0.374) | (0.535) | | (0.171) | (0.219) | | 自然状态增长率 | - | - | | 0.139* | 0.059 | | 0.061* | 0.018 | | - | - | | (0.077) | (0.103) | | (0.037) | (0.043) | | 自然响应增长率 | - | - | | 0.300 | 0.427 | | -0.073 | -0.092 | | - | - | | (0.244) | (0.292) | | (0.118) | (0.127) | | 经济压力增长率 | 0.068 | -0.090 | | - | - | | 0.604*** | 0.829*** | | (0.151) | (0.211) | | - | - | | (0.229) | (0.302) | | 经济状态增长率 | -0.008 | -0.016 | | - | - | | 0.044 | 0.046 | | (0.022) | (0.032) | | - | - | | (0.034) | (0.042) | | 经济响应增长率 | 0.015** | 0.012 | | - | - | | -0.005 | 0.003 | | (0.007) | (0.009) | | - | - | | (0.011) | (0.012) | | 社会压力增长率 | 0.032 | 0.0315 | | -0.102 | -0.111 | | - | - | | (0.033) | (0.049) | | (0.109) | (0.171) | | - | - | | 社会状态增长率 | 0.485*** | 0.693*** | | -0.353 | -1.091 | | - | - | | (0.097) | (0.235) | | (0.346) | (0.778) | | - | - | | 社会响应增长率 | -0.028** | -0.031* | | 0.089** | 0.145** | | - | - | | (0.012) | (0.018) | | (0.037) | (0.056) | | - | - | | 常数项 | -2.708*** | -4.164*** | | 10.110*** | 13.770*** | | 3.665*** | 4.422*** | | (0.811) | (1.487) | | (1.855) | (4.091) | | (1.076) | (1.249) |
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