中国对非洲承包工程时空演变过程与影响机制

刘志高, 薛嘉顺, 王涛, 宋涛

The spatio-temporal evolutionary process and mechanism of China's overseas contracted projects in Africa

LIU Zhigao, XUE Jiashun, WANG Tao, SONG Tao

表4 中国对非洲承包工程空间分布的影响因素

Tab.4 Locational determinants of Chinese foreign contracted projects in Africa

	2001—2017年	2001—2005年	2006—2011年	2012—2017年
lnGDP	0.438^***	0.0138	0.437^***	1.014^***
	(0.107)	(0.0746)	(0.0594)	(0.0459)
GDPG	-0.00355	0.0492^**	-0.00180	-0.0111^**
	(0.00872)	(0.0236)	(0.0137)	(0.00517)
OPEN	0.0152^***	0.00128	0.0147^***	0.0117^***
	(0.00247)	(0.00600)	(0.00366)	(0.00187)
FTS	-0.0636^***	0.00817	-0.0297	-0.154^***
	(0.0160)	(0.0258)	(0.0189)	(0.0148)
LFP	0.00651	-0.0101	0.0213^***	0.0252^***
	(0.00534)	(0.00682)	(0.00544)	(0.00225)
NRE	0.00451^**	0.00124	0.00956^***	0.00259^**
	(0.00190)	(0.00391)	(0.00145)	(0.00127)
EDS	-0.0120^***	-0.00695^***	-0.00726^***	0.00464
	(0.00123)	(0.00248)	(0.00279)	(0.00299)
TR	0.000688^***	0.00102^***	0.000459^***	0.000687^***
	(7.67e-05)	(0.000369)	(0.000127)	(0.000140)
PA	-0.000252^***	-0.000145^*	-1.55e-05	-0.000260^***
	(7.18e-05)	(7.78e-05)	(5.61e-05)	(4.41e-05)
PS	-0.0584	-0.0950	-0.185^***	0.0391
	(0.0790)	(0.109)	(0.0638)	(0.0560)
ER	-0.180^***	-0.190^***	-0.139^*	-0.101^**
	(0.0594)	(0.0648)	(0.0732)	(0.0483)
LANDLOCK	-0.209^**	-0.411^***	-0.180	-0.329^***
	(0.0958)	(0.0858)	(0.179)	(0.104)
BR	-0.382^*	-1.265^***	-0.385^*	0.395^***
	(0.215)	(0.445)	(0.227)	(0.139)
UNION	0.585^***	0.818^***	0.792^***	0.452^***
	(0.0731)	(0.0802)	(0.0861)	(0.0334)
BIT	0.826^***	1.349^***	0.712^***	-0.127
	(0.132)	(0.178)	(0.118)	(0.111)
CN	0.774^***	-0.814^*	0.367^***	0.198^***
	(0.107)	(0.450)	(0.0958)	(0.0414)
Constant	-2.398	7.760^***	-4.062^***	-16.08^***
	(2.559)	(1.549)	(1.424)	(1.026)
组间异方差	1692.59^***	2448.73^***	7461.53^***	3680.25^***
组间同期相关（Frees）	3.652^***	1.686^***	3.158^***	2.368^***
组内自相关	4.816^**	0.681	24.174^***	13.984^***
观测数量	612	180	216	216
R²	0.580	0.462	0.612	0.642
国家数量	36	36	36	36