中国对非洲承包工程时空演变过程与影响机制

刘志高, 薛嘉顺, 王涛, 宋涛

The spatio-temporal evolutionary process and mechanism of China's overseas contracted projects in Africa

LIU Zhigao, XUE Jiashun, WANG Tao, SONG Tao

表5 中国对非洲承包工程空间分布的影响因素稳健性检验

Tab.5 Locational determinants of Chinese FCPs in Africa (Robustness check)

	FGLS		替换主要解释变量
	FGLS		市场变量		资源变量		技术变量		双边关系变量
ln GDP	0.821^***				0.513^***		0.444^***		-0.0209
	(0.105)				(0.111)		(0.106)		(0.0712)
GDPG	-0.0145^***				-0.00643		-0.00438		-0.00694
	(0.00243)				(0.00861)		(0.00885)		(0.00674)
OPEN	0.0125^***		0.0132^***		0.0122^***		0.0151^***		-0.00296
	(0.00174)		(0.00235)		(0.00239)		(0.00251)		(0.00249)
FTS	-0.0529^**		-0.0675^***		-0.0683^***		-0.0729^***		-0.0700^***
	(0.0231)		(0.0207)		(0.0149)		(0.0162)		(0.0157)
LFP	-0.00600		0.0129^*		0.00383		0.00426		-0.0105^**
	(0.0142)		(0.00694)		(0.00468)		(0.00522)		(0.00423)
NRE	-0.00466		0.00644^***				0.00470^***		0.00830^***
	(0.00324)		(0.00219)				(0.00181)		(0.00141)
EDS	-0.00807^***		-0.0140^***		-0.0114^***		-0.0119^***		-0.00558^***
	(0.00107)		(0.00131)		(0.00120)		(0.00127)		(0.00111)
TR	0.000318^***		0.000663^***		0.000694^***		0.000772^***		0.000372^***
	(9.35e-05)		(7.84e-05)		(7.68e-05)		(8.60e-05)		(5.95e-05)
PA	-0.000254^***		-0.000125^**		-0.000290^***				-0.000320^***
	(7.66e-05)		(5.17e-05)		(6.80e-05)				(3.70e-05)
PS	0.180^*		-0.325^***		-0.00157		-0.109		0.308^***
	(0.0989)		(0.113)		(0.0726)		(0.0744)		(0.0570)
ER	-0.0983^*		-0.166^***		-0.162^***		-0.151^**		-0.0311
	(0.0554)		(0.0611)		(0.0516)		(0.0589)		(0.0382)
LANDLOCK	-0.200		-0.147		-0.263^***		-0.178^*		0.977^***
	(0.462)		(0.103)		(0.100)		(0.104)		(0.108)
BR	-0.947^***		-0.0768		-0.432^**		0.301		-0.482^**
	(0.293)		(0.267)		(0.204)		(0.315)		(0.233)
UNION	0.673^***		0.680^***		0.567^***		0.629^***
	(0.146)		(0.0557)		(0.0742)		(0.0621)
BIT	0.0623		1.013^***		0.862^***		0.828^***
	(0.178)		(0.110)		(0.128)		(0.134)
CN	0.428^***		0.847^***		0.784^***		0.852^***		0.306^***
	(0.0513)		(0.0990)		(0.101)		(0.112)		(0.0725)
ln PGDP			0.329^***
			(0.117)
PGDPG			-0.00247
			(0.00954)
NRR					0.0225^***
					(0.00558)
SCI							-0.000208^***
							(3.93e-05)
		FGLS				替换主要解释变量
		FGLS		市场变量		资源变量		技术变量		双边关系变量
YED										0.0109^***
										(0.00411)
TAIWAN										-2.303^***
										(0.174)
ln FOB										0.789^***
										(0.0730)
FDI										-0.0144^*
										(0.00766)
Constant		-10.15^***		4.864^***		-3.984		-2.552		2.709^*
		(3.042)		(1.199)		(2.754)		(2.576)		(1.557)
组间异方差		1692.59^***		2213.89^***		2745.12^***		2033.84^***		1590.22^***
组间同期相关（Frees）		3.652^***		3.761^***		3.651^***		3.733^***		2.210^***
组内自相关		4.816^**		5.154^**		4.886^**		4.760^**		5.086^**
观测数量		612		612		612		612		612
R²		-		0.564		0.586		0.580		0.693
国家数量		36		36		36		36		36