1990—2015年中国县市尺度人口收缩的演变特征及影响因素
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刘振, 戚伟, 齐宏纲, 刘盛和
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The evolution of regional population decline and its driving factors at the county level in China from 1990 to 2015
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LIU Zhen, QI Wei, QI Honggang, LIU Shenghe
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表4 1990—2000年和2000—2010年县市尺度人口收缩及演变的影响因素回归结果
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Tab. 4 The results of the factors of regional population decline and its evolution between 1990-2000 and 2000-2010
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| 指标变量 | 模型（1） | | 模型（2） | | a 持续收缩型 | b 增长转收缩型 | c 收缩转增长型 | a 持续收缩型 | b 增长转收缩型 | c 收缩转增长型 | | PerGDP | -5.95*** | -1.81** | -2.49** | | -1.15*** | -1.02*** | -0.30 | | Pjob | -1.61 | -4.97*** | -2.15 | -2.81* | -6.18*** | -3.26* | | RGDP | -0.81 | 0.96*** | 4.26*** | -0.01 | 0.01 | -0.01 | | Rjob | -4.30** | -8.86*** | -5.73*** | -4.32*** | -4.13*** | -1.88 | | Edu | 3.81 | 2.12 | 4.65 | -5.41** | -3.63** | -2.47** | | Traffic | 3.35*** | 2.25*** | 4.22*** | 4.32*** | 1.54*** | 4.00*** | | Terrain | -0.32*** | -0.25*** | -0.43*** | -0.37*** | -0.28*** | -0.42*** | | Elevation | -0.11** | -0.08* | -0.10 | -0.14** | -0.13* | -0.09 | | DisM | -1.11*** | -0.91*** | -1.04*** | -0.48 | -0.52*** | -0.42 | | DisC | -0.12* | -0.15** | -0.11 | -0.07* | -0.10** | -0.03 | | Natural | -0.17*** | 0.01*** | -0.03** | -0.46*** | -0.21*** | -0.25*** | | C | -9.90*** | -7.29*** | -16.30*** | -11.64*** | -2.01 | -13.17*** |
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