中国城镇化的农村减贫及其空间溢出效应——基于省级面板数据的空间计量分析

张博胜, 杨子生

Rural poverty reduction and its spatial spillover effects of Chinese urbanization: Based on the analysis of spatial econometric model with provincial panel data

ZHANG Bosheng, YANG Zisheng

表6 SPDM空间固定效应模型空间效应分解结果

Tab. 6 Decomposed spatial effects of SPDM with spatial fixed effects

变量 直接效应 间接效应 总效应 系数 P值 系数 P值 系数 P值 urb_p -4.148*** <0.001 -4.669*** 0.004 -8.817*** <0.001 (urb_p)2 0.041*** <0.001 0.040** 0.036 0.081*** <0.001 urb_l 3.245 0.470 14.000 0.321 17.246 0.289 (urb_l)2 -0.083 0.886 -2.697 0.249 -2.780 0.286 urb_e 1.294*** 0.001 2.984*** 0.009 4.278*** 0.002 (urb_e)2 -0.016*** <0.001 -0.039*** 0.003 -0.055*** 0.001 gdp_g 0.012 0.913 0.324 0.257 0.335 0.282 u_r_d 0.045 0.974 -4.602 0.186 -4.557 0.194 empl 2.354*** <0.001 6.244** 0.019 8.598*** 0.005 huma -1.434 0.304 1.776 0.696 0.341 0.949 mart 2.545 0.260 -6.603 0.307 -4.059 0.616 capi -27.285*** <0.001 -32.802* 0.095 -60.087*** 0.010 tech 0.633 0.353 -0.767 0.705 -0.134 0.954 prod -0.040** 0.037 0.006 0.902 -0.034 0.147 poli 0.244*** <0.001 -0.127 0.159 0.117 0.538