鉴于赤道东太平洋海温与副热带高压的相关事实,使用秋冬季海表温度预报夏季副高诸特征量,由此估计我国东部地区汛期雨带位置与降水分布特征。1976—87年的预报试验取得了明显的效果。本文还对其影响机制作了探讨。

On the basis of the analysis of the relationship between the subtropical high over the Northwest Pacific and sea surface temperature over the East Equatorial Pacific, we have developed a new method for long-term forecasting of the intensity and location of subtropical high. On the ground of this, the location of the rain-belt and distribution of precipitation during rainy season may be also estimated. We have gained good results of forecasting from 1976-now and also analysed mechanism of influence. This paper is a review on making long-term forecasting of subtropical high by using sea surface temperature.