江苏省工业经济时空差异及增长趋同
收稿日期: 2009-08-17
修回日期: 2009-12-11
网络出版日期: 2010-07-20
基金资助
中国科学院知识创新工程重要方向项目(KZCY2-YW-339)
Temporal and spatial differences and growth of convergence concerning industrial economy in Jiangsu
Received date: 2009-08-17
Revised date: 2009-12-11
Online published: 2010-07-20
区域经济差异与趋同是目前学术界的研究热点,但对于工业经济的差异与趋同研究却少涉及。文章从江苏省县域层面选取工业经济的相关指标,运用泰尔指数及β趋同检验对江苏省工业经济就不同时段、不同地区的差异与趋同作不同角度的分析,并对导致工业差异与趋同的主要影响因素作分析比较。结果表明,研究区工业经济存在趋同,但是随着时间的推进,趋同的速度有所降低,并与总体差异缩小的幅度降低相一致;地区间的工业差异变化波动,且在波动中略有增长趋势;地区内部差异以苏南最大,苏北最小,趋同特征则是"发达地区趋同快,欠发达地区趋同慢"。引起差异与趋同变化的主要因素主要集中在产业结构、新增固定资产投入、人才技术和交通运量等条件的变化上。
陈晓,陈雯,王丹 . 江苏省工业经济时空差异及增长趋同[J]. 地理研究, 2010 , 29(7) : 1305 -1316 . DOI: 10.11821/yj2010070015
Differences and the convergence in the regional economy are the current hot spots in academic research. However, the research involves relatively few fields associated to the industrial economy. According to this, this paper divides Jiangsu province into three regions, and with this regional setting and the method of quantitative analysis, the paper selects some relevant indicators about the industrial economy in Jiangsu Province at county level from 1980 to 2007. Then the paper uses the Theil index and β convergence test to analyze the difference and the convergence of industrial economy in Jiangsu province in different periods and different areas. Finally, the main reasons leading to the convergence are discussed based on the above calculation results. The main conclusions are drawn as follows. Firstly, there is convergence both in the three areas and among areas. But with the elapse of time, the speed of convergence shows a downward trend. Then the dimension of industrial difference among areas fluctuates up and down, however it also keeps increasing in the fluctuations with the time on a whole. And the industrial economy difference among areas dominates the whole province. Secondly, the dimension of industrial difference in areas reaches the maximum in southern Jiangsu and the minimum in northern Jiangsu. From the results, at the same time, we can find the speed of industrial economy convergence in Jiangsu is getting slower and slower when the economy develops. We can also see that developed areas have faster speed of convergence, while less developed regions have slower speed of convergence. Besides, differences and convergence of industrial economy are mainly due to the changing conditions of industrial structure, newly increased fixed assets, talents and technology, transportation volume, etc. Although the industrial economy differences has become lower and lower and there is convergence among areas, the industrial economy differences will not be eliminated in a long period of time.
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