本文建立了工业、第三产业和农业主导产业评价指标体系,提出了非线性功效函数定量评估模型,对济南市三类产业分行业进行了定量评价,确定了5个工业主导产业、6个第三产业主导产业和1个农业优势产业,提出了21世纪初期济南市产业结构调整优化重点

On the framework of regional advantages, industrial correlation, science and technology contentment, market potential and ecological level, three indexes systems for leading industrial assessment of industry, tertiary industries and agriculture are established.The weights of indexes are computed by means of IAHP(Improved Analysis of Hierarchy Processing).A new model of unique-index evaluation (process of unit-elimination)-nonlinear effective function is proposed, which can describe the coordination of each index more effectively.Quantitative evaluations are made on the industries-specific industry, tertiary industries and agriculture, with the selection of five leading industries,namely,electronics and information industry, bio-technology industry, optical-mechanica -electronica integration, manufacture of transportation facilities, manufacture of electrical machinery; six leading industries of tertiary sectors, namely science and technology and education, information consultation, finance, tourism, commercial, real estate; and one leading industry of agriculture-plantation.The key points of industrial construction adjustment and optimization orientated to Jinan city are discussed: 1) industrial construction to speed up the development of tertiary industries, strengthen industry, develop the primary industry steadily; 2) industrial organization to bring about the combination of large-, medium- and small-sized enterprises, put emphasis on large-sized enterprises, open medium- and small-sized enterprises; make co-existence of different economic components and take the state-owned enterprises as the main-body; co-develop city, town and county, put the emphasis on urban areas;and 3)industrial technology to take the hi-tech as the leading, make it as the incubator and driver for the future economic development of Jinan City