论文

1711-1911年昆明雨季降水的分级重建与初步研究

展开
  • 1. 复旦大学历史地理研究中心,上海200433;
    2. 中科院地理科学与资源研究所,北京100101
杨煜达(1968-),云南人,博士,讲师。主要研究方向为历史气候与环境变化。

收稿日期: 2006-03-31

  修回日期: 2006-06-15

  网络出版日期: 2006-12-15

基金资助

中科院知识创新工程项目(KZCX3-SW-321-3);教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大项目(01JAZJD770008)资助

The grade reconstruction of 17111911 precipitation during the rainy season in Kunming and its preliminary study:a exploitation of archives

Expand
  • 1. Center for Historical Geography Studies of Fudan University,Shanghai 200433,China;
    2. Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research,CAS,Beijing 100101,China

Received date: 2006-03-31

  Revised date: 2006-06-15

  Online published: 2006-12-15

摘要

利用清代档案和其他文献资料,重建了1711-1911年间昆明雨季降水的分级序列。在重建中采取了纠偏措施,有效地解决了资料存在的系统偏差问题。对重建序列的分析表明,昆明降水存在较大的波动,可以分为4个大的时段。总的来说,18世纪的雨季降水略少于19世纪。和喜马拉雅山区达索普冰芯恢复的印度季风降水序列的比较表明,19世纪70年代是两个序列中降水量最多的10年,且19世纪后半期同是两个序列波动较大的时期。但也有不一致的地方,说明两地降水机制有所差别。同时太阳活动的世纪周期对昆明的雨季降水有影响。对中间分辨率资料的开拓利用,有助于拓展高分辨率历史气候序列重建的范围。

本文引用格式

杨煜达, 满志敏, 郑景云 . 1711-1911年昆明雨季降水的分级重建与初步研究[J]. 地理研究, 2006 , 25(6) : 1041 -1049 . DOI: 10.11821/yj2006060011

Abstract

There were almost 4000 items about precipitation,disasters and harvest of Kunming in the archives of the Qing period. Using these materials and other historical documents,based on analysis of periodical characteristics of modern precipitation,the series of precipitation grades in Kunming during 1711-1911 is reconstructed.System deviations are modified successfully by means of the rectification measures.Comparison of the dryness/wetness grade with precipitation grade indicates that the series of precipitation grades can express precipitation of the rainy season more actually.The analysis indicates that the 201 years from 1711 to 1911 can be divided into four phases according to the precipitation of the rainy season in Kunming,and the amount of precipitation during the 18th century is slightly lower than that during the 19th century.This indicates that the amount of the 1870s is the maximum through comparison with the series of Indian monsoon precipitation based on the Himalayas Dasuopu ice core,and the amount of the second half of the 19th century fluctuates more obviously in both series.However,the amount of precipitation during the last 30 years of the 18th century is higher in Kunming,but is lower during the 18th century,all indicated by the precipitation series of Dasuopu ice core.The characteristic of monsoon precipitation in the Yunnan Plateau is unique.Two peaks of 90a macula cycle correspond with the two peaks of the series of precipitation grades in Kunming,the 90a solar activity cycle affects the precipitation of rainy season in Kunming possibly.It is helpful to extend the area of reconstructing the high-resolution series of historical climate by exploiting and utilizing medium-resolution materials.

参考文献



[1] E ddy J A.Pas t G lobal Changes Project,Proposed Im plem ent ati on Plans f or R esearch A ct ivit ies.G lobal ChangeR ep ort N o..9.Sw eden,St ock holm,IG BP,1992.1~112.



[2] 国家自然科学基金委员会.全球变化:中国面临的机遇和挑战.北京:高等教育出版社,1998.61~75.



[3] Bradley R S.H igh Resolu sion R ecord of Past Clim at e f rom M on soon A si a:T he Last 2000 Y ear s and Beyond.R emomm endat ions for R esear ch.Sw it zerl and,Bern:PA GE S C or e Pr oj ect Of f ice,1993,1~24.



[4] 中央气象局气象科学研究院.中国近500年旱涝分布图集.北京:地图出版社,1981.



[5] 中央气象局研究所.北京250年降水.1975.1~46.



[6] 张时煌,张丕远.北京250年来降水量的重新恢复.见:张翼,张丕远,张厚瑄,等编.气候变化及其影响.北京:气象出版社,1993.28~34.



[7] 张德二,刘月巍.北京清代晴雨录降水记录的再研究%应用多因子回归方法重建北京(1724~1904年)降水量序列.第四纪研究,2002,22(3):199~208.



[8] 张德二,刘传志,江剑民.中国东部6区域近#1000年干湿序列的重建和气候跃变分析.第四纪研究,.997,.7(.):1~11



[9] 郑景云,张丕远,周玉孚.利用旱涝县次建立历史时期旱涝指数序列的试验,地理研究,1991,12(3):1~9.



[10] 郑景云,郝志新,葛全胜.重建清代逐年降水的方法与可靠性%%%以石家庄为例.自然科学进展,2004,14(4):475~480.



[11] 郑景云,郝志新,葛全胜.山东1736年来逐年降水重建及其初步分析.气候与环境研究,2004,9(4):551~566.



[12] 郑景云,郝志新,葛全胜.黄河中下游地区过去300年降水量变化.中国科学D辑,2005,35(8):765~774.



[13] 于希贤.对徐霞客游记中戊寅(1638年)滇中超长雨期的研究.地理研究,1995,14(4):85~90.



[14] 严华生,谢应齐,谢兰仙.昆明近300年的旱涝变化规律.热带气象学报,1998,14(3):119~125.



[15] 王绍武,赵宗慈.近五百年我国旱涝史料的分析.地理学报,1979,34(4):329~341.



[16] 张德二.重建近500年旱涝等级序列的方法及其可靠性.见:气象科学研究院编.气象科学技术集刊(4).北京:气象出版社,1983.17~26.



[17] 姚檀栋,段克勤,田立德,等.达索普冰芯积累量记录和过去400a来印度夏季风降水变化.中国科学D辑,2000,30(6):619~627.



[18] 王宇.云南气候变化概论.北京:气象出版社,.996..54.
文章导航

/