AN ANALYSIS ON COORINATED DEVELOPMENTOF THE ECOLOGICAL AND ECONOMIC SYSTEM AROUND BOHAI AREA OF HEBEI PROVINCE

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  • 1. Institute of Geography, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101;
    2. Department of Geography, Hebei Teachers University, Shijiazhuang 050016

Received date: 1998-03-05

  Revised date: 1998-06-30

  Online published: 1998-12-15

Abstract

Sustainable development of regional social and economic system depends on the coordinated degree of system components and the gain coupling with ecosystem.Smitulating and regulating socioeconomic system become a challenging work due to its complexity.The weakness in dealing with diffusely coupling,nonlinear and high order equation makes the traditional methods,such as system dynamics and multiobjective planning analysis,become less important in modeling behavior and dynamic character of socioeconomic system.In this paper,a feed forward artificial neural network (ANN) with back propagation (BP) is tested to simulate structure and function of socio economic system.A BP model established by BP builder consists of input layer,hidden layer and output layer.We choose 12 factors,such as total population,cropping land,forest land,water resource and forest cover rate.as variables of neurons at input layer.At output layer,three neurons stand for the ecological quality index,economic development index and social development index.We generate a set of training data by means of real value of socioeconomic system's components from 1991 to 1995 and then train the BP model.Having served to predict and regulate real socioeconomic system around Bohai area of Hebei province,the BPmodel shows that a goal of coordinated development between ecosystem and socioeconomic system will become true by slowing down the economic development speed,increasing land area for ecological purposes,and reducing capital investment and energy input to the ecosystem.

Cite this article

Li Shuangcheng, Gao Weiming, Liu Lian . AN ANALYSIS ON COORINATED DEVELOPMENTOF THE ECOLOGICAL AND ECONOMIC SYSTEM AROUND BOHAI AREA OF HEBEI PROVINCE[J]. GEOGRAPHICAL RESEARCH, 1998 , 17(4) : 352 -359 . DOI: 10.11821/yj1998040003

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