Impact of climatic change on runoff of Haihe River Basin in Hebei Province
Received date: 2009-06-01
Revised date: 2009-12-26
Online published: 2010-08-25
Based on the data of climate and runoff from 51 weather stations and 68 hydrologic stations of the Haihe River Basin in Hebei Province from 1956 to 2000, the change of essential climatic factors and runoff are analyzed in this paper. The average annual surface runoff of the Haihe River Basin in Hebei Province is 67.0×108 m3, which decreased from 105.3×108 m3 in the 1950s to 54.7×108 m3 in the 1990s. The runoff reduces with the decrease of the precipitation and the rise of the temperature. The models of essential climatic factors and the runoff established by the multiple regression analysis are logarithmic non-linear functions. Finally, based on the prediction of the future climatic change in 2030 and 2050, the surface runoff of the Haihe River Basin in Hebei Province will be 70.0×108~76.8×108 m3 in 2030 and 69.8×108~76.9×108 m3 in 2050,respectively.
SHAO Ai-jun, ZUO Li-qiong, WANG Li-jun . Impact of climatic change on runoff of Haihe River Basin in Hebei Province[J]. GEOGRAPHICAL RESEARCH, 2010 , 29(8) : 1502 -1509 . DOI: 10.11821/yj2010080015
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