For detecting the applicability of classical urban population density models on the microcosmiclevel, this paper calculates grid-based population landscape density of Shenyang city, analyzes it's spiatial auto-correlation and variability using theories and methods of geostatiatics. It is found out that all semivariogram functions of populatin density fit with spherical model with negget in ten kinds of grains from 100m to 1000m, indicating that population distribution presents structural characteristics in the spatial extension of Shenyang city. But because of different grains, the auto-correlation scales, neggets, and stills, the rate of negget and still is different. This means that spatial auto-correlation of population distribution depended on the scale intensively, resulting in scale effects.By calculating semivariogram functions curves of different directions, it can be found that population density takes on a classical zonal anisotropy, which means that there were different structural characteristics in different directions for poplation distribution. The analysis of population density auto-crrelation and variability should be taken as bases for researching urban population density distribution. The impacts of grain on population density auto-correlation and anisotropy are objective, so more attention should be paid to choosing feasible scale and identifying structure of population distribution. In the specific time for a certain city, the condition of population distribution is objective, while population density models are abstract expressions of population distribution characteristics, whose parameters are only quantitative indexes of expressing population distribution pattern. So, when researching spatial structure of population distribution in a city, the emphases should be put on how to identify spatial structural characteristics of population distribution, rather than on how to apply classical population density models mechanically.
DU Guo-ming, ZHANG Shu-wen, ZHANG You-quan
. Analyzing spatial auto-correlation of population distribution: A case of Shenyang city[J]. GEOGRAPHICAL RESEARCH, 2007
, 26(2)
: 383
-390
.
DOI: 10.11821/yj2007020020
[1] C1ark C. Urban population densities. Journal of Royal Statistical Society,1951,114:490~496.
[2] Naroll R S, Bertalanffy L von. The principle of allometry in biology and the social sciences.General Systems Yearbook,1956,1:76~89.
[3] Stewart J Q, Warntz W. Physics of population disdribution. Journal of Regional Science,1958,1:99~123.
[4] Sherrantt G G.A model for general urban growth. In:Churchman C W,Verhulst M(eds. ). Management Sciences, Model and Techniques: Proceedings of the Sixth International Meeting of Institute of Management Sciences(V.l.2). Elmsford, N.Y:Pergamon Press,1960. 147~159.
[5] Tanner J C.Factors affecting the amount travel. Road Research Technical Paper No.51, HMSO(Department of Scientific and Industrial Research). London, 1961.
[6] Smeed R J. The traffic problem in towns. Manchester Statistical Society Papers.Manchester:Norbury Lockwood,1961.
[7] Newling B E. The spatial variation of urban population densities. Geographical Review,1969,59:242~252.
[8] Berry B J,Kim H M. Challenges to the monocentric model. Geographical Analysis,1993,25:1~4.
[9] Small K A,Song S. Population and employment densities: Structure and change. Journal of Urban Economics,36:292~313.
[10] 冯健.杭州市人口密度空间分布及其演化的模型研究.地理研究,2002,21(5):635~646.
[11] 冯健.转型期中国城市内部空间重构. 北京:科学出版社,2004.
[12] 张仁铎.空间变异理论及应用. 北京:科学出版社,2005.13.
[13] Bongarcon D Francois. Theory of sampling and geostatistics: An intimate link. Chemometrics and Intelligent Laboratory Systems,2004,74:143~148.
[14] 王政权.地统计学及在生态学中的应用.北京:科学出版社,1999,151~155.
[15] 潘志强,刘高焕.面插值的研究进展.地理科学进展,2002,21(2):146~152.
[16] 李双成,蔡运龙. 地理尺度转换若干问题的初步探讨.地理研究,2005,24(1):11~18.
[17] 陈彦光,刘继生.城市人口分布空间自相关的功率谱分析.地球科学进展,2006,21(1):1~9.
[18] Wang Fa-hui,Meng Yan-chun. Analyzing urban population change patterns in Shenyang, China 1982-90: Density function and spatial association approaches.Geographic Information Sciences,1999,5(2):121~130.