Introduction to the research of impact on economy from climate protection with modeling
Received date: 2010-04-03
Revised date: 2010-07-26
Online published: 2010-11-20
In this paper, we discussed the international research response to climate change, climate change and the economic impact of climate protection, and suggested that new research should focus on climate protection modeling and simulation. This article evaluated 6 models of the emissions scenarios used to rely on specialized report features in Fourth Assessment Report of IPCC, and pointed out the IPCC's SRES models ignore the endogenous technological progress and international GDP spillover, and attention focused on the economic effects of the passive response to climate change, so that we need to develop a proactive model now. The article also discussed the research in climate protection deficiencies in China, including reliance on foreign software and statistical models, the lack of dynamics simulation, stressed that the urgent task is to develop a new model of macroeconomic dynamics, nonlinear CGE model and simulation model based on agent, and made China-program about the global climate protection. Finally the author introduced the LRICE model framework which was developed by Wang, Wu Jing and others. The model, characterized by technological advances in learning by doing, reflects the fact that developing countries will reduce carbon dioxide emissions through technological progress, which is closer to the real world.
Key words： climate economics; climate protection; IPCC; geo-computation
WANG Zheng . Introduction to the research of impact on economy from climate protection with modeling[J]. GEOGRAPHICAL RESEARCH, 2010 , 29(11) : 1921 -1931 . DOI: 10.11821/yj2010110001
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