Characteristics of dynamic variation of the inter-provincial economic difference in China in recent ten years
Received date: 2002-03-11
Revised date: 2002-07-23
Online published: 2002-12-15
This paper explores the methods for studying regional economic difference in the aspects of research unit's being decided, measurement index's being chosen, and measurement means' being selected. It also points out the advantages and disadvantages of each method by taking 31 provinces, autonomous regions, and municipalities in mainland China as regional study unit,and per capita GDP as total index to measure regional economic difference.It quantitatively measures the overall leveland the characteristics of dynamic variation of the recent inter-provincialeconomic difference from the angles of standard deviation , and standard deviation coefficientof every region's per capita GDP.The absolute difference rose linearly and the relative difference wavelike. The frequencies distribution of every region's per capita GDP is a kind of positively slanting distribution, deviating normal distribution greatly. Every year, only a few provinces' per capita GDP is above the average level of the whole country. It also quantitatively measures the characteristics of spatial structure of this differential variation from the angles of the ratio of every region to the whole nation, and the difference of every region's relative development rate. Coastal areas are developing faster, in contrast with the inland areas, especially some western regions. There is a narrowing tendency in economic difference among coastal provinces, but in contrast there is a widening tendency among the east, the middle and the west. The spatial structure of the three belts was strengthened in the 1990s. The regression model between the growth rate of whole nation's GDP and the standard deviation of every region's per capita GDP was set up and according to this model the warn standard of inter-provincial economic difference was probed in this paper. Theoretically, the standard deviation of per capita GDP in 1994 had already broken warn standard. Moderately balancing policies should be carried out right then, so as to control the widening difference and to make each region develop harmoniously.
Key words: inter-provincialeconomic difference; warn standard; efficiency; fair
ZHOU Yu-cui, QI Qing-wen, FENG Can-fei . Characteristics of dynamic variation of the inter-provincial economic difference in China in recent ten years[J]. GEOGRAPHICAL RESEARCH, 2002 , 21(6) : 781 -790 . DOI: 10.11821/yj2002060015
[1] 陆大道.区域发展及其空间结构.北京:科学出版社.
[2] 陆大道,等.我国区域政策实施效果与区域发展基本态势.地理学报,1999,54(6):496~508.
[3] 陆大道,刘卫东.论我国区域发展与区域政策的地学基础.地理科学,2000,20(6):487~493.
[4] 陈国阶.我国东中西部发展差异原因分析.地理科学,1997,17(1):1~6.
[5] 胡鞍钢等.中国地区差距报告.沈阳:辽宁人民出版社,1995.79~89.
[6] 吴殿廷.中国三大地带经济增长差异的系统分析.地域研究与开发,2001,20(2):10~15.
[7] 吴殿廷.试论中国经济增长的南北差异.地理研究,2001,20(2):238~243.
[8] 中兼,津次.中国地区差异的结构及其机制.管理世界,1994,(5):171~176.
[9] 覃成林.中国区域经济差异研究.北京:中国经济出版社,1997.
[10] 覃成林.中国区域经济差异变化的空间特征及其政策含义研究.地域研究与开发,1998,17(2):36~39.
[11] 李玲.改革开放以来中国国内人口迁移及其研究.地理研究,2001,20(4):451~462.
[12] 花俊,顾朝林.我国区域发展差异的贸易经济研究.地理研究,2001,20(3):322~329.
[13] 孙日瑶.我国三大地带经济差距与原因分析.山东大学学报(哲社版),1999,(2):71~78.
[14] 李小建,乔家君.20世纪90年代中国县际经济差异的空间分析.地理学报,2001,56(2):136~145.
[15] 历以宁主编.区域发展新思路.北京:经济日报出版社,2000.
[16] 黄朝永.省域差异的警戒水平及调控研究.地理研究,1996,15(2):52~60.
[17] 赵建新.论区域经济差距的衡量指标与测度方法.经济地理,1998,18(3):63~67.
[18] 欧阳南江.改革开放以来广东省区域差异的发展变化.地理学报,1993,48(3):204~217.
[19] 马丽,庞效民.区域经济政策的博弈解析.地理研究,2001,20(4):498~505.
[20] 赵英兰,纪鹤.国外解决地区差距的宏观政策及启示.山东财政学院学报,2000,(1):65~70.
/
| 〈 |
|
〉 |