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  • 2013 Volume 32 Issue 4
    Published: 10 April 2013
      

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  • Article
    CHENG Weiming, XIA Yao, CAO Yuyao, SONG Yang, LIU Haijiang
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    In this paper,three analysis methods,such as,factors weighting-superposition one, information amount model one and FCM-rough set one,are firstly presented and analyzed. FCM-rough set method integrates the advantages of fuzzy C-means clustering method(FCM) and rough set theory,which is a data-driven method.On the basis of spatial distributions of 339 gully numbers of the debris flows from field surveying in Jundu Mountains of Beijing, hazard assessment maps of the debris flows are compiled based on the three methods,and then the assessment results are compared.The conclusions can be drawn as follows:1)The methods of factors weighting-superposition one and information amount model one can draw 5 levels of hazard classification results of debris flows,by contrast,FCM-rough set method can only draw 3 levels of classification results.2)Based on the results of the three assessment methods,on the whole,gully numbers of debris flows in the hazard zones increase,when hazard assessment levels change from low to high.3)Taking the actual gully numbers of debris flows located in different hazard zones as judging standard,information amount model method can obtain better results,which possesses more than 90% of gully numbers of debris flows in high and very high hazard zones;FCM-rough set method can reach 63.72% of the gully distribution of debris flows in dangerous zones.4)Taking ratio of gully numbers within unit area and gully distribution of debris flows as judging standard,and information amount model method is relatively good to the general gully distribution of debris flows,which possesses high precision evaluation.The results obtained by factors weighting-superposition method have not obvious difference in high and very high hazard zones,and a good gradient is not formed.FCM-rough set method covers most of gully distribution of debris flows in dangerous zones,but its calculation results are not good,and the method could be promoted in other similar regional disaster environment for future study.
  • Article
    YAO Xiaojun, ZHANG Xiao, SUN Meiping, LI Jing, WANG Weidong
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    Water shortage is the basic environmental problem in Northwest China.The awareness and understanding of water deficit which is calculated as the difference between precipitation and potential evaporation is important to realize the supply/demand situation and rational utilization of water resources.Based on observed data obtained from 126 national meteorological stations located in Northwest China during the period of 1960-2010,the spatial and temporal variations of water deficit over Northwest China were analyzed by the methods of Morlet wavelet function,Kendall correlation trend,Mann-Kendall abrupt test and so on.The results indicated that the water deficit was negative in most parts of Northwest China and gradually decreased from southeast and northwest area to the middle area.The linear tendency of annual water deficit was found to be an upward trend from 1960 to 2010. However,seasonal water deficit had some differences.In particular,water deficit displayed an upward trend in spring,summer and winter,and there was a downward trend in autumn.The primary period of water deficit variation was 3.5-5 years.The periodic change of water deficit strongly shook in summer and weakly shook in other seasons.The stations which had an upward trend of water deficit and abrupt change were mainly located in the westerlies climate zone and the plateau climate zone.And the stations which had a downward trend were mainly located in the southeast monsoon and its marginal regions.
  • Article
    WU Guiping, LIU Yuanbo, ZHAO Xiaosong, YE Chun
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    Under the support of ArcGIS spatial analysis module,this paper mainly aims at mod16-ET product to conduct a systematic research on the spatial and temporal characteristics in the Poyang Lake Basin during 2000-2010.The results indicated that MOD16-ET product is more applicable for the analysis of spatio-temporal distribution characteristic of evapotranspiration.In addition to water bodies and wetlands,the average ET from 2000 to 2010 changed obviously,and the sudden ascent happened in 2003 and 2007,which exceeded the average ET value by 49.28 mm and 46.71 mm respectively.The spatial distribution of the ET had obvious regional characteristics.ET values in the central part of the basin are higher than those in the surrounding areas in terms of their spatial distribution,especially in the high vegetation coverage areas.Furthermore,the seasonal variation of ET shows a unimodal pattern,and its peak value occurs in July.The spatial distribution of ET is related to land cover characteristics,which have effect on the ET distribution in the Poyang Lake Basin,and the order of ET intensity by land cover types is woodland>grassland>farmland>unused land>building land.The results of the study are of great theoretical and practical significance to analyses of the cause of drought and effective use of water resources across the Poyang Lake Basin.
  • Article
    ZHANG Wei, LIU Beibei, CUI Zhijiu, LI Yonghua, DONG Yingwei, YU Zhilong, LI Yangyang
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    With the development of Quaternary glacier research and the increase of the absolute ages,comparison of glacial sequence and marine isotope stage(MIS)is better than before.The further division of glaciation(glacial stage)and interglacial(interglacial stage) lead to the emergence of some problems reflected by the influence of the procedures of traditional glaciation on the comparison between Quaternary glaciation in China and MIS. The main problems are as follows:the glacial sequence with absolute ages corrected the previous glaciation division according to the relative geomorphology,however,the modified results have not propagated as soon as possible.The correlation between glaciation and the even stage of MIS is not reasonable.Logical contradiction exists in the comparison between the glaciation,interglacial and MIS.An abuse of double name with time and location of the glacial sequence exist in the division of Quaternary glaciation in China at present.According to the comparison between Quaternary glaciation in China and MIS,together with the research of control of climate change and tectonic movement on the evolution of the geomorphology,main conclusions can be drawn as follows.(1)It is useful to find one or more new events of Quaternary glacial advance when correlating the glaciation(glacial stage) or inter-glacial(stage)to the even stage of the MIS in the future.(2)As the influence of 100 ka ratio of the earth orbit,the glacial development in China has been greatly influenced by the major climate change since the middle Pleistocene.The glacial extents are accordant with the global ice volume from the Kunlun glaciation to Zhonglianggan glaciation.However,the glacial extents of the early and/or middle stages were not consistent with the global ice volume during the last glacial cycle.It is intensively indicated that the glacial occurrence might depend on the coupling control of the regional climate and the tectonic uplift.The name of different glacial sequences should be modified considering the suitable application and convenient correlation in different regions.The authors recommend that the Dali glaciation and Guxiang glaciation should be used to replace the last glacial cycle and penultimate glaciation respectively.More importantly,whatever the misunderstanding during the course of the correlation between the glacial sequence and the moraine isotope stage curves,lack of reliable and comparable absolute dating results leads to these questions unresolved
  • Article
    SHEN Yongming, WANG Yanfang, CHEN Shoujun, WU Deli, YU Weiyan, LI Zhaohui
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    Spartina alterniflora Loisel was introduced from USA to China and it is a new adventitious species of plant to Chinese environment.This plant that covers a vast area between mean sea level and mean high level has become a dominant plant on tidal flats.Four sampling sites were selected outside the Badou reclamation area where the Spartina alterniflora Loisel grew well,and the macrobenthos sampling was collected at different depths in four seasons,and then the temporal and spatial distributions of the macrobenthos in Spartina alterniflora salt marsh were analyzed by using the methods of sieving,fixation, identification and calculation of the community indicators.The result shows that there are 4 phylums,5 classes,12 families and 15 species of macrobenthos in Spartina alterniflora loisel salt marshes,and the Batillaria zonalis Bruguiere and Lunatis gilva Philippi are the dominant animals,accounting for 34.91% and 32.23% respectively.The macrobentho animal species have a greater seasonal difference in the number of individuals,the highest in summer and lowest in autumn.The community indicators have no significant variation with the change of seasons.In terms of spatial distribution,the largest average number of macrobenthos individuals is observed at points H2 where the Spartina alterniflora loisel grows well,and the smallest is found at point H4 with no gross covered,and some macrobenthos,such as Batillaria zonalis Bruguiere and Perinereis aibuhitensis Grube are observed at all the points, showing that this plant has a wide habitat.As for vertical distribution,the upper layers have the largest amount of macrobenthos in all the seasons and at all the sampling sites.
  • Article
    YE Bixiong, LIU Yuan, YU Jiangping, YANG Linsheng, WANG Wuyi, OUYANG Zhu
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    Application of livestock manure to farmland can result in heavy metal contents of agricultural products.Through the food chain,ultimately,heavy metals have effect on human health.In this study,three areas of application different livestock manure in Yucheng city, Shandong province were selected to explore the heavy metal pollution and migration in soil-wheat system.The results showed that there was heavy metal pollution in the study areas.In areas with application of chicken manure and pig manure,the average values of pollution index were 0.83 and 0.78,respectively,reaching alert levels.The average values at some points were more than 1 and 2,at light pollution or pollution levels.The areas with application of cow manure was less contaminated,with the pollution index being at the security level.There were different degrees of over standard of Cr,Ni,Cd and As in wheat of different agricultural areas with livestock manures.In the wheat of chicken manure agricultural areas,the exceeding standard rate of Cr was 66.67%,and those of Ni,Pb were both 16.67%.In cow manure agricultural areas,Cr and Ni exceeded the standard,and exceeding standard rate of Cr was 91.67%.In the wheat of pig manure agricultural areas, only Cr exceeded the standard,the exceeding standard rate of Cr was 41.67%.The wheat showed a different ability of heavy metal enrichment.The wheat could highly enrich Cd,Zn and Cu but lowly enrich Pb and As.In addition,the accumulation ability of the same heavy metal of wheat stems and leaves was greater than that of wheat seeds.
  • Article
    XIAO Xianjing, LIN Xianglei
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    There is little domestic and foreign literature specializing in classification of ecological experiments.The domestic literature classifies the ecological experiments mainly according to subject branches of ecology and the teaching needs,belonging to apparent classification.The foreign literature classifies ecological experiments mainly based on the specific characteristics of the ecology experiments,reflecting corresponding salient features of the ecological experiments.Furthermore,certain lacks of existing literature on the classification of ecological experiments such as standard confusion,insufficient division, excessive sub-item,skip-grade division,conceptual confusion,and so on are found in accordance with general principles of taxonomy and the literature study.On this basis, systematic classifications of ecological experiments are given.First,according to the organizational level of the object studied,the cross of ecology and the other natural sciences and social sciences,and research motivation,the ecological experiments are divided into various ecological sub-discipline experiments:according to the level of organization of the object studied,the ecological experiments can be divided into autecology experiments, population ecology experiments,community ecology experiments,ecosystem ecology experiments,landscape ecology experiments,and global ecology experiments;according to sub-discipline formed by the intersection of ecology and biological sciences,the ecological experiments can be divided into the physiological ecology experiments,genetic ecology experiments,behavioral ecology experiments,animal ecology experiments,plant ecology experiments,microbial ecology experiment,and so on;according to the motives of the ecology experimental research,the ecological experiments can be divided into theoretical ecology experiments and applied ecology experiments.Second,based on the teaching needs, the ecological experiments can be divided into basic experiments,comprehensive experiments and research experiments.Third,the ecological experiments can be divided into a series of experimental categories based on the spatial and temporal characteristics,object characteristics,and role characteristics of the ecological experiments.According to places where the experiments are implemented,the ecological experiments can be divided into field experiments and laboratory experiments;according to whether the experiments are qualitative or quantitative,the ecological experiments can be divided into qualitative experiments and quantitative(mensurative)experiments;according to whether naturally occurring interferences are used as treatments,the ecological experiments can be divided into natural experiments and unnatural experiment;according to whether the experiments directly act on the objective object,the ecological experiments can be divided into direct experiments and indirect experiments;according to the number of ecological factors to be tested,the ecological experiments can be divided into single factor experiments and multi-factor experiments;based on the time scale of the experiments,the ecological experiments can be divided into short-term experiments and long-term experiments;based on the spatial scale of the experiments themselves,the ecological experiments can be divided into microcosm, mesocosm,and macrocosm;based on whether models are used,the ecological experiments can be divided into model experiments and non-model experiments.The above classifications are first level classifications.Second and third level classifications can be performed to some of them,for example,the field experiments can be divided into marine field ecology experiments,and terrestrial field ecology experiments,etc.;the terrestrial field ecology experiments can be divided into farmland field ecology experiments,and grassland field ecology experiments,etc.It is significant for deepening our understanding of the related ecological experiments connotations,clarifying the category of ecology experiments,and better engaging in teaching and research to point out the lack of the existing ecological experiments and give systematic classification of the ecological experiments.
  • Article
    LIU Xianfeng, REN Zhiyuan, LIN Zhihui
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    This article aims to quantitatively evaluate the values of fixing CO2 and releasing O2,and their dynamic changes in Qinghai-Tibet Plateau ecosystem.Light energy utilization model was used to estimate Net Primary Productivity(NPP) based on MODIS/NDVI data,and through photosynthesis equation we converted NPP to amount of CO2 fixation and O2 releasing.Based on this,forestation cost method and industrial oxygen generation method were used to compute the values of CO2 fixation and O2 releasing in Qinghai-Tibet Plateau ecosystem.The results show that the values of CO2 fixation were 384.36×109 yuan,393.23×109 yuan and 356.41×109 yuan in 2000,2005 and 2010,respectively,while those of O2 releasing were 408.31×109 yuan,415.02×109 yuan and 378.61×109 yuan in 2000,2005 and 2010,respectively.The values of fixing CO2 and releasing O2 increased by 15.58×109 yuan from 2000 to 2005,while they decreased by 73.23×109 yuan between 2005 and 2010.The values of fixing CO2 and releasing O2 reduced by 57.65×109 yuan from 2000 to 2010.In terms of spatial distribution,the values of fixing CO2 and releasing O2 present a decreasing trend from southeast to northwest,which is consistent with the distribution of heat and water conditions.The values of CO2 fixation and O2 releasing are listed in the order of grassland forest meadow other types shrub farmland.The values of fixing CO2 and releasing O2 in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau ecosystem present a decreasing trend from 2000 to 2010,which shows that the climate change and human activities lead to a worsening eco-environment in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau.
  • Article
    YU Linjun, SUN Danfeng, PENG Zhongren, LI Hong
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    Spatial variations in the relationships between driving forces and land use change are ignored in traditional cellular automata(CA)based land use models which are based on assumption of spatial homogeneity.To address this issue,a geographically weighted multinomial logit(GWML)mode,developed by integrating a locally weighted regression procedure in the estimation of the multinomial logit(MNL)model,is applied in a CA land use model using a case study in Orange County,FL,USA.The results show that the GWML has higher data explanation power than conventional MNL model,and the GWML based CA land use model results in a higher simulation accuracy than the MNL based CA model because local land use change patterns are identified by the locally created transition rules. Although a region in the USA was used as a case study,the conclusion is still meaningful for future studies using regions of China as cases.
  • Article
    LIU Zhengqiao, WANG Liangjian
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    The coordinated development of economy and population,resources and environment is a key point in the urbanization of China,as well as one of the important parts in the planning of major function zones.Since four types of development zones(optimized development zones,key development zones,restricted development zones,non-development zones)co-exist in Northeast China,to study the path and energy for economic growth and urbanization could offer a good reference for the whole nation. This paper,taking the temporary population as the breakthrough point,analyses the mechanism of interaction between economic growth and temporary population,and then constructs a set of simultaneous equations for economic growth and temporary population, using panel data from 34 cities in Northeast China,in order to get a better understanding of the relationship between economic growth and temporary population,which could be regarded as the absorption and bearing capacity of urbanization in this region.This study indicates that under the background of planning of major function zones,the urbanization of Northeast China should develop according to the economic,social,natural and ecological conditions.The industrial restructuring in central cities and the migration of population from restricted development zones and non-development zones to key development zones will offer a good way for centralized and balanced urbanization.The development of service industry in central cities will help to enhance the absorption and bearing capacity for economic development and population growth.Besides,it is essential to promote the equalization of basic public service and consummate infrastructure of inner cities positively.
  • Article
    LIN Xueqin, WANG Dai, REN Wangbin, LIU Yifeng
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    In recent years,more and more scholars considered that in the future urbanization it will be the important driving force to promote economic increase in China,which challenges the traditional theory that urbanization derived from industrialization.Based on the previous research,the paper quantitatively analyses the relationship between urbanization and economic development and the mechanism of urbanization to economic increase in China by using analytical models and statistical data.Results show that:from 1978 to 2008,China's urbanization presents logarithm relevant to economic increase and both has a long dynamic equilibrium relationship;the direct facilitating effect of urbanization on economic development is not obvious,urbanization is more as a result and a phenomenon of economic development,but through the urbanization,the relavant factors especially the key factors such as physical capital,human capital,knowledge capital and industrial structure which can promote economic growth can be agglomerated well and thus produce a good spillover effect on economic increase.In 1978-2008,by giving an impetus to the agglomeration of physical capital and human capital,urbanization further power the development of the whole economy, but this spillover effect is still not desirable,the agglomeration action on higher production factors is limited.Therefore in the 21st century fostering the agglomeration function of urbanization should be paid more attention in China,and we should not simply go in traditional development such as simple quantitative expansion,but focus on the agglomeration function of a city to higher production factors.The development way of China's urbanization should be transformed from "seeking quantity and light" to "seeking quality and strong".
  • Article
    SHEN Yue, CHAI Yanwei, GUO Wenbo
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    Research on human activity-travel behavior is offering an important approach to the study of urban structure.There have been lots of domestic empirical studies on space-time patterns and the related decisions process based on cross-sectional data or activity diary of one or two days.But less time has been spent on space-time behavior and the variations during a period more than two days,because long-term disaggregated space-time data of individual's behavior is hard to achieve,and on the other hand,individuals are generally assumed to establish stable,highly routinized patterns.As long-term activity-travel dairy surveys are achieved in increasing countries,how an individual's behavior varies from day to day,week to week,or season to season,has been discussed intensively by researchers to gain a better understanding of activity-travel behavior and to acquire knowledge for better planning and policy development.In transitional China,space-time behavior of residents is more and more complicated,flexible and individualized,day-to-day variability in activity-travel behavior has become an important theme. Data for this study are drawn from a 2010 Beijing one-week activity-travel survey based on GPS,including 100 residents in two typical suburban communities.We use a time geographical framework to represent the activity-travel trajectories in 3-D GIS environment, and also descriptive analysis and analysis of variance to study day-to-day variability in activity-travel behavior during one week from perspectives of space-time path and time allocation.The results indicate that,firstly,differences of residents'space-time behavior between weekdays and weekends are significant.Second,during the weekdays,Monday has the longest work time and lower incidence of non-work activities;variations on Tuesday to Thursday are comparatively insignificant;Sunday is a transition from weekdays to weekends and residents are freer to decide the time allocation.Third,during the weekends,Saturday has higher incidence of working,longer time at home and less non-work travel;on Sunday, incidence of non-work activities increases significantly.The study fills in the gap of weekly space-time pattern in China,and provides a Chinese case for weekly activity-travel behavior studies.
  • Article
    QIN Xianhong, WEI Yehua, CHEN Wen, DUAN Xuejun
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    Since the 1990s,China has been entering into a hyper-growth period,and urbanization in China is developing rapidly.Many large cities in China are also undergoing significant population growth and thus their spatial structures have been changed a lot. Previous studies showed that a few large cities had stepped into suburbanization process.For example,development in cities of Shanghai,Beijing and Guangzhou tends to form a polycentric pattern.However,case studies of other Chinese large cities have not been unfolded yet.It is very worth to explore more Chinese large cities for geographical scholars with the perspectives of population growth and spatial structure evolution.Based on existing theory and analysis method,this paper takes Nanjing city as a case study.The paper firstly analyzes the population spatial expansion process in Nanjing city by using geographical analysis methods,including street zoning method and circle division method.Then it simulates the polycentric development of urban population distribution through statistical models.The results show that:along with the total population growth,Nanjing's high population density areas have extended to inner suburban areas,forming a circled spatial expanding approach,which is the result of natural urban population growth.At the same time,the population densities of district-governments'seats and prioritized development areas in outer suburban areas also become very high,forming a fog-jumping spatial expanding approach.Population growth in these places has a close relationship with the government regulations and policies.The government-led population growth in urban China is different from that in edge city,suburban magnetic center and rural secondary employment center in the Western countries.Moreover,we also find that population spatial distribution in Nanjing has also been experiencing a tendency of polycentric development.Except the downtown area,Shanxi Road Street has become a population growth center,and the Wanda Plaza of Hexi New City Zone is becoming another population growth hot spot as well.This paper makes a good foundation forward to summarizing population spatial evolution theory in Chinese large city.Besides,it also provides some important experiential evidences for levels of government on optimization and regulation of Nanjing city's population distribution.
  • Article
    JIAO Sheng, LI Zhenmin, GAO Qing, ZHOU Kai, WEI Chunyu, HE Shaoyao
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    In targeting the problem of ignoring horizontal landscape ecological processes in traditional land-suitability analysis method,the authors applied the landscape connectivity theory to the different stages of land suitability evaluation,in order to optimize ecosystem in urbanization.This research applies hydrological analysis tools in ArcGIS to work out an analytical framework for optimizing the suitability analysis technology in urban ecological sensitive areas.In a case study of the riverside area in Hope City District,Changsha City, main factors that affect the biological level flow and the land-suitability are selected and weighted to build up a resistance evaluation framework in urban landscape process.Secondly, a water running-off ecological corridor system is defined through the hydrological connectivity analysis and produced a hypothetical hydrological model.And then,the model is overlapped with the output of land suitability assessment to improve the results.The research indicate that the landscape connectivity method can contribute to the optimization of traditional urban land-suitability assessment throughout the method introduced.
  • Article
    HU Zhiding, GE Yuejing
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    Since the 1980s, two kinds of "new economic geography" in the international academia have emerged, one belonged to the economics, and the other was from geography. However, different constitutional research traditions and analysis frameworks between economics and geography resulted in considerable differences in the research thinking, methodology and content in the two kinds. The analytical framework of new economic geography in economics could be divided into three parts: perspective, reference and analytical tool, while that in geography consisted of four parts: observation, investigation, analysis, policy recommendations and theory promotion. However, what led to the differences of the two new economic geographies just helped to understand them. This paper reviewed the two debates of the two new economic geographies first, and then comparatively analyzed their assumptions, research ideas, research content and development trends by the frameworks. Finally, the paper proposed that it is very important for both the economists and geographers to learn from each other and use mutual elites for references. In this paper, the ideas of the differences with previous studies are mainly reflected in three aspects. First we proposed a new analytical framework for geographical economics. Second, we focused on two kinds of theories and the research content and progress based on the analytical methodology and framework. Finally, we not only presented its similarities and differences from the assumptions, research content, but also concentrated on the research tradition and analytical framework.
  • Article
    ZHU Huiyi
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    Over the past 30 years, the cotton production in China has gradually concentrated in Xinjiang under market economy. This change in spatial pattern of cotton production has accelerated the expansion of cropland in Xinjiang and consolidated the regional function in agricultural production in China. Moreover, it has promoted the desertification in western China. Although much research work has been conducted on the expansion of cropland and cotton production in Xinjiang, it mainly focused on regional profit and effects on water resource and environment. The underlying cause of the concentration of cotton production is far from understanding. In market economy, any changes in spatial pattern in agricultural production are the results of regional competition and the regional competition is mainly determined by the production cost, consequently by efficiency and saving of land, capital, and labor. Therefore, a detailed exploration of regional difference in land productivity, labor productivity, and capital productivity in cotton production was conducted in this paper based on the cost and profit data collected by the price department of national development and reform commission. The results indicated that the land productivity for Xinjiang was higher than the national average but not the highest in 15 cotton-planting provinces of China. The cash capital productivity for Xinjiang was even below the national average. Only the labor productivity for Xinjiang was the highest in all cotton-planting provinces of China. These results imply that the regional disparity of labor productivity in cotton production is the underlying cause of the concentration of China's cotton production in Xinjiang under the market economy. From the conclusion, we can deduce that the concentration of China's cotton production in Xinjiang will continue and the environment will be worsening in the coming years, unless the central and local governments take some concrete measures. This conclusion also suggests that further verification researches should be done on changes in spatial pattern of other crop production in China.
  • Article
    LUO Jian, CAO Weidong, TIAN Yanzheng
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    Shift-share model (SSM) has been viewed as an effective statistical analysis method in the research of regional economic growth. However, what the classical model of shift-share analysis contains is not the exact regional component and structural component in the true sense, two components interweave with each other, and its extensive models produce more residual component without too much explanation for separating regional component and structural component. A complete separation between regional component and structural component in the shift-share analysis has been realized in this study. On the one hand, the proportionality shift-share spatial model realized a preliminary separation through transforming share component, embedding regional component, and reorganizing residual component in component structure. On the other hand, the proportionality shift-share spatial model excluded the impact of industry structure and scale differences for the computing of regional component and structural component through standardizing the growth rates. The new model realized shift-share analysis' goal to separate the contribution of the scale and structural differences of regional economy from the regional economic increment during the study period. The new derived structural component achieved an authentic longitudinal and transverse comparison of the regional structural differences. Especially, it revealed the concentrated distribution of industry whose scale and growth rates are dominated by calculating the structural differences of industrial scale and growth rate simultaneously which amounts to increment structure. In addition, 8 decompositions were added for the existing 20 decomposition of taxonomy, and the regional economic growth of all the cities in Anhui Province from 2000 to 2010 was analyzed by the proportionality shift-share spatial model with annulus comparative dynamic algorithm. Regional economic growth depends on the economic performance of neighborhood and nation to a certain extent. The proportionality shift-share spatial model embedded spatial structure by setting the neighborhood and weighting interregional actions, which revealed the scale and structure advantage of regional economy. The growth rate, the industrial structure, and spatial weight of each stage are different in the dynamic process of regional economic growth. The effect changes of each region throughout the years can be examined by dynamic algorithm.
  • Article
    GAO Boyang, LIU Weidong
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    At the 2009 United Nations Climate Change Conference in Copenhagen, China announced its target of CO2 emission reduction, that is, by 2020 the amount of CO2 emission per output unit will drop by 40%~45% compared to that in 2005. The target will be incorporated into China's long term socio-economic planning. Globally, the transport sector is the largest source of CO2 emissions. Exploring road transportation energy consumption and the abatement opportunities for road transportation is of great significance for low-carbon economy research, and also for the emission reduction target. Based on the existing literature and research, in this article, we outline four major potential ways of emissions reduction on road transportation, which are: (1) give priority to the development of public transportation; (2) give priority to the development of small output volume automobiles; (3) reduce the automobile energy consumption per kilometer; (4) strictly control the automobile pollutant emission standard. With these four potential ways, the article uses the emission calculation model and scenario analysis method to estimate the reduction potential of road transportation carbon emission in 2015 and 2020. Calculation results show that: under low, middle and high scenarios, China will reduce the CO2 emission by 21.83, 18.91 and 18.81 million tons in 2015 respectively. Up to 2020, the emission amount will achieve 71.48, 55.45, and 40.55 million tons respectively. Lastly, according to the development reality of China, the paper puts forward the corresponding policy recommendations in relation to emission reduction of road transportation on the basis of the above findings.
  • Article
    WANG Hui, ZHANG Meng, SHI Ying, WANG Liang
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    Concentration and differentiation analysis of tourism economy is a study of attention degree and status quo of specific area development on tourism. It is one of the important measures to obtain a right developing direction and co-operation partners. The development of tourism has special similarities and differences in island system because of the island's relatively independent district feature. This paper collects the data of tourism development in the 12 island counties during 2006-2010, using location entropy and Theil index, and calculates the degree of tourism centralization in Chinese island counties and variation characteristics between provinces and cities, within provinces and cities and overall discrepancy in a time scale. The results are shown as follows. (1) Overall tourism development is disequilibrium in Chinese island counties. Besides, the degree of centralization on tourism situation is low and professional advantages of the island region are not obvious, but at the same time, the space for development is larger. (2) The island's total tourism income differences in Fujian Province have a downward trend, while Zhejiang Province shows an upward trend. This shows that island tourism in Fujian develops towards a balanced direction. Theil index of the general income in island has changed. In 2006 the index in Fujian is bigger than that of Zhejiang, while in 2010 the index in Zhejiang is bigger than that of Fujian, which shows that their general income differences on island's tourism are gradually weakening. (3) The differences between the island counties and their provinces are both increasing, while there is not a great gap between the differences within the group and differences between the groups, but the fluctuations are frequent. Both of the differences between the island counties of their provinces and within the island counties are major contributors to the development differences in Chinese island counties.