地理研究 ›› 2021, Vol. 40 ›› Issue (3): 689-707.doi: 10.11821/dlyj020191086
收稿日期:
2019-12-17
接受日期:
2020-07-16
出版日期:
2021-03-10
发布日期:
2021-05-10
通讯作者:
贺灿飞
作者简介:
谢玉欢(1995-),女,广东潮州人,硕士,研究方向为经济地理与区域发展。E-mail: 基金资助:
Received:
2019-12-17
Accepted:
2020-07-16
Online:
2021-03-10
Published:
2021-05-10
Contact:
HE Canfei
摘要:
研究中国ICT产品的出口贸易扩张有助于理解“全球-地方”互动视角下国际贸易与国内产业地理的相互作用。本文构建地方集群网络和信息溢出效应促进产品出口扩张的机制分析框架,利用2000—2016年中国海关库数据,探究中国ICT产品出口地理网络扩张机制。研究发现: ①中国ICT产品出口源地从沿海地区向内陆地区扩张,出口目的地扩张重点在不同时间段存在差异。②中东部省份出口到东亚和北美、西部省份出口到北美和西欧的贸易扩张较为显著。③面板Probit模型分析表明,地方集群网络和信息溢出效应能够增加出口源地-目的地层面ICT产品出口额,提升出口专业化程度。
谢玉欢, 贺灿飞. 地方集群网络、信息溢出效应与中国ICT产品出口地理网络扩张[J]. 地理研究, 2021, 40(3): 689-707.
XIE Yuhuan, HE Canfei. Local cluster networks, information spillover effects and export network expansion of China's ICT products[J]. GEOGRAPHICAL RESEARCH, 2021, 40(3): 689-707.
表1
变量说明"
变量 | 符号 | 定义 | 数据来源 | |
---|---|---|---|---|
因变量 | ||||
出口额是否增长 | EXPinc | 与上一年相比,各省出口到特定目的地的ICT产品出口额是否增加(是取1,否取0) | 中国海关贸易数据库(不公开内部资料) | |
出口专业化是否提升 | RCAinc | 与上一年相比,各省出口到特定目的地的ICT产品出口专业化程度(贸易区位商)是否提升(是取1,否取0) | ||
核心自变量 | ||||
地方集群 网络 | 集聚专业化 | LQ | 各省出口ICT产品的贸易区位商 | 中国海关贸易数据库(不公开内部资料) |
认知邻近性 | density | 各省出口产品结构与ICT产品的技术关联密度 | ||
信息溢出 效应 | 出口市场经验溢出效应 | exp_info | 省份-国家(地区)层面非ICT产品出口额(美元) | |
外资溢出效应 | compnum | 各省ICT产业外资出口企业数量(个) | ||
控制变量 | ||||
省份层面 | 劳动力 | ind_staff | 第二产业从业人员数(万人) | 《中国统计年鉴》[ |
基础设施 | roadarea | 城市人均拥有道路面积(m2) | ||
技术能力 | patent | 专利申请授权数(件) | ||
国家(地区)层面 | 经济发展水平 | ctry_pcGDP | 人均GDP(亿美元) | 世界银行数据库[ |
地理邻近性 | distcap | 与中国(北京)的地理距离(km) | CEPII GeoDist数据库[ | |
技术性贸易壁垒 | tbt | 向WTO报告技术性贸易壁垒数(个) | 世界贸易组织数据库[ |
表3
2001—2016年中国东中西部省份出口到世界各区的ICT产品出口额"
目的地市场分区 | 东部省份 | 中部省份 | 西部省份 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2001—2008年 | 2009—2016年 | 2001—2008年 | 2009—2016年 | 2001—2008年 | 2009—2016年 | |||
东亚 | 4590.34 | 11172.21 | 17.53 | 450.85 | 41.30 | 552.40 | ||
东南亚 | 858.75 | 1826.39 | 5.93 | 71.39 | 9.94 | 215.15 | ||
南亚 | 199.74 | 674.66 | 3.07 | 41.40 | 1.45 | 63.54 | ||
西亚 | 179.76 | 641.63 | 2.06 | 56.63 | 4.81 | 98.96 | ||
中亚 | 13.82 | 40.22 | 0.39 | 1.65 | 1.22 | 3.98 | ||
北欧 | 536.52 | 865.79 | 0.91 | 58.64 | 1.57 | 113.56 | ||
东欧 | 335.92 | 1022.38 | 1.74 | 88.96 | 2.37 | 52.17 | ||
南欧 | 215.12 | 498.98 | 1.47 | 18.05 | 1.53 | 50.08 | ||
西欧 | 1900.49 | 3145.77 | 11.07 | 238.56 | 4.98 | 596.26 | ||
北美 | 3056.37 | 6570.57 | 14.12 | 665.49 | 17.51 | 1013.61 | ||
加勒比地区 | 5.17 | 17.37 | 0.02 | 0.34 | 0.07 | 4.08 | ||
拉丁美洲 | 297.51 | 1104.85 | 3.10 | 93.00 | 1.13 | 88.05 | ||
北非 | 32.43 | 94.59 | 0.41 | 1.67 | 1.21 | 3.21 | ||
撒哈拉以南非洲 | 83.15 | 247.15 | 0.51 | 7.44 | 0.90 | 22.84 | ||
大洋洲 | 164.44 | 413.43 | 0.77 | 25.03 | 1.17 | 57.68 | ||
出口额总计 | 12469.53 | 28336.01 | 63.10 | 1819.11 | 91.17 | 2935.59 |
表5
地方集群网络、信息溢出效应与ICT产品出口扩张"
出口额增长 (EXPinc) | 出口专业化提升 (RCAinc) | ||
---|---|---|---|
模型1 | 模型2 | ||
L.LQ | 0.247*** | 0.181*** | |
L.density | 0.732*** | 0.474*** | |
L.lnexp_info | 0.080*** | 0.065*** | |
L.lncompnum | -0.006 | 0.018*** | |
L.lnind_staff | 0.031*** | 0.013 | |
L.lnroadarea | 0.080*** | 0.009 | |
L.lnpatent | 0.037*** | 0.031*** | |
L.lnctry_pcGDP | 0.011*** | 0.012*** | |
lndistcap | -0.075*** | -0.044*** | |
L.lntbt | 0.034*** | 0.010** | |
_cons | -2.071*** | -1.931*** | |
年份固定效应 | Yes | Yes | |
Observations | 69181 | 69181 |
表6
稳健性检验"
出口额增长 (EXPinc) | 出口专业化提升 (RCAinc) | ||
---|---|---|---|
模型3 | 模型4 | ||
L.LQ | 0.199*** | 0.155*** | |
L.density | 0.604*** | 0.425*** | |
L.lnexp_info | 0.078*** | 0.064*** | |
L.lncompnum | -0.005 | 0.018*** | |
L.lnwage | 0.053 | 0.075* | |
L.lnairvol | -0.011 | -0.018*** | |
L.lnpatent | 0.078*** | 0.054*** | |
L.lnctry_pcGDP | 0.004 | 0.008** | |
lndistcap | -0.072*** | -0.046*** | |
L.lntbt | 0.028*** | 0.008 | |
_cons | -2.374*** | -2.557*** | |
年份固定效应 | Yes | Yes | |
Observations | 54208 | 54208 |
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