经济增长动能转换与绿色发展耦合协调的时空格局演化分析

doi:10.11821/dlyj020200702

地理研究 ›› 2021, Vol. 40 ›› Issue (9): 2572-2590.doi: 10.11821/dlyj020200702

经济增长动能转换与绿色发展耦合协调的时空格局演化分析

盖美¹^,²(), 秦冰¹^,²(), 郑秀霞³

1. 教育部人文社科重点研究基地海洋经济与可持续发展研究中心,大连 116029
2. 辽宁师范大学海洋可持续发展研究院,大连 116029
3. 辽宁师范大学附属职业中专,大连 116029

收稿日期:2020-07-24 接受日期:2021-04-29 出版日期:2021-09-10 发布日期:2021-11-10
通讯作者: 秦冰（1997-）, 女,山东临沂人,硕士,主要研究方向为区域经济学。E-mail: qbing6@163.com
作者简介:盖美（1971-）,女,辽宁大连人,博士,教授,硕:士生导师,主要研究方向为区域经济与可持续发展。E-mail: gaimei71@163.com
基金资助:
辽宁省社会科学规划基金重点项目(L20ATJ001)

The evolution of the spatiotemporal pattern of the coupling and coordination between economic growth kinetic energy conversion and green development

GAI Mei¹^,²(), QIN Bing¹^,²(), ZHENG Xiuxia³

1. Key Research Base of Humanities and Social Sciences of the Ministry of Education, Center for Studies of Marine Economy and Sustainable Development, Dalian 116029, Liaoning, China
2. Institute of Marine Sustainable Development. Liaoning Normal University, Dalian 116029, Liaoning, China
3. The Vocational School Attached to Liaoning Normal University, Dalian 116029, Liaoning, China

Received:2020-07-24 Accepted:2021-04-29 Published:2021-09-10 Online:2021-11-10

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

绿色发展与动能转换之间联系密切,研究根据二者内涵构建综合评价指标体系,基于耦合协调相对发展度模型、空间自相关、重心和标准差椭圆模型分析中国31个省市（不含港澳台）2008—2018年两系统耦合协调的时空格局演变特征,得出以下结论：① 绿色发展和动能转换综合指数均呈波动上升趋势,但空间异质性显著,东部沿海地区水平最高。② 各省绿色发展与动能转换的耦合协调度逐年提升,逐步形成东部沿海地区为轴带向中西部地区扩散的“川”字阶梯型发展格局。③ 绿色发展与动能转换的耦合协调度具有显著的空间正相关性,位于“低-低”类型区域的省份最多,高值和低值区域趋于两极集聚分布。④ 2008—2018年耦合协调度的重心主要向西南方向迁移,耦合协调度呈向西南方向分散的态势。东、中、西部地区绿色发展与动能转换耦合协调的空间格局演变特征存在差异,东部地区呈西南方向迁移的分散态势,中部地区呈西南方向迁移的集聚态势,西部地区呈东南方向迁移的集聚态势。

关键词: 绿色发展, 动能转换, 耦合协调, 中国

Abstract:

There is a close connection between green development and kinetic energy conversion. A comprehensive evaluation index system is constructed based on the connotations of the two. The study analyzes the evolution characteristics of the spatiotemporal pattern of the coupling and coordination of the two systems in China’s 31 provinces （autonomous regions and municipalities, excluding Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan） from 2008 to 2018, using the coupling coordination relative development model, spatial autocorrelation, center of gravity and standard deviation ellipse model. And the following conclusions are drawn: （1） Both the comprehensive index of green development and kinetic energy conversion fluctuate and rise, but show a pronounced spatial heterogeneity, with the highest level in the eastern coastal area. （2） The degree of coupling and coordination between green development and kinetic energy conversion in various provinces has been improved year by year, gradually forming a Ⅲ-shaped tiered development pattern, with the eastern coastal area as the axis spreading to the central and western regions. （3） The degree of coupling and coordination between green development and kinetic energy conversion has a remarkable positive spatial correlation. The majority of the provinces fall into the "low-low" category, and the high-value and low-value areas tend to be polarized. （4） From 2008 to 2018, the center of gravity of the coupling coordination degree mainly moved to the southwest, and the coupling coordination degree dispersed to the southwest. The spatial pattern evolution characteristics of the coupling and coordination between green development and kinetic energy conversion in the eastern, central and western regions are different. The eastern region shows a dispersed trend of moving in the southwest direction, the central region shows a centralized trend of moving in the southwest direction, and the western region shows a gathering trend of migration in the southeast direction.

Key words: green development, kinetic energy conversion, coupling coordination, China

盖美, 秦冰, 郑秀霞. 经济增长动能转换与绿色发展耦合协调的时空格局演化分析[J]. 地理研究, 2021, 40(9): 2572-2590.

GAI Mei, QIN Bing, ZHENG Xiuxia. The evolution of the spatiotemporal pattern of the coupling and coordination between economic growth kinetic energy conversion and green development[J]. GEOGRAPHICAL RESEARCH, 2021, 40(9): 2572-2590.

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子系统	准则层	要素层	指标层
动能转换	开放提质	规模扩张	进出口总额占比
			外商直接投资占比
		质量提升	高技术产品出口占比
			外商独资企业进出口额占比
		领域延伸	国际旅游外汇收入占比
			国外技术引进合同金额占GDP比重
	创新驱动	人力投入	每万劳动力中R&D人员占比
		资本投入	R&D经费投入强度
		创新效益	万人发明专利授权量
			规模以上工业企业新产品销售收入占比
		创新环境	人均拥有公共图书馆藏量
			教育支出占比
	产业升级	产业结构合理性	修正后的泰尔指数
		产业结构高级性	产业结构高级化指数

子系统	准则层	要素层	指标层	作用力方向
绿色发展	绿色经济	经济质量	人均GDP	+
			城乡收入差距比	-
			登记失业率	-
		绿色增长	万元GDP能耗	-
			单位GDP废气排放量	-
			单位GDP废水排放量	-
			单位GDP工业固体废物排放量	-
		绿色产业	第三产业增加值占比	+
			第三产业固定资产投资占比	+
	绿色财富	资源禀赋程度	人均耕地面积	+
			人均水资源量	+
			人均森林面积	+
		生态环境质量	空气质量优良天数比	+
			地表水达到或好于Ⅲ类水体比例	+
			单位耕地面积化肥施用量	-
			湿地总面积占比	+
		生态环境建设	污水处理率	+
			建成区绿化覆盖率	+
			生活垃圾无害化处理率	+
	绿色社会	人类发展	社会保障和就业支出占比	+
			每十万人口高等学校平均在校生数	+
			居民消费水平	+
		绿色消费	人均用水量	-
			人均用电量	-
			每万人公共汽电车客运量	+
		设施完善	每万人拥有职业医师数	+
			一级等级公路里程占比	+
			社区服务机构覆盖率	+
			互联网普及率	+

年份	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018
动能转换	0.198	0.206	0.212	0.219	0.223	0.223	0.225	0.223	0.228	0.227	0.269
绿色发展	0.310	0.292	0.296	0.289	0.301	0.295	0.343	0.343	0.348	0.350	0.375

相对发展度类型	2008年省份	2018年省份
动能转换超前	无	无
同步发展	广东浙江上海山东江苏北京天津	广东浙江上海山东江苏北京天津重庆
动能转换滞后	剩余省份	剩余省份

年份	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018
Moran's I	0.231	0.205	0.258	0.271	0.285	0.254	0.265	0.243	0.244	0.251	0.228
Z	2.281	2.072	2.492	2.585	2.691	2.422	2.518	2.324	2.344	2.404	2.221
P	0.023	0.029	0.017	0.016	0.009	0.016	0.014	0.022	0.018	0.015	0.026

经济增长动能转换与绿色发展耦合协调的时空格局演化分析

The evolution of the spatiotemporal pattern of the coupling and coordination between economic growth kinetic energy conversion and green development

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