地理研究

地理研究 ›› 2012, Vol. 31 ›› Issue (6): 1029-1038.doi: 10.11821/yj2012060006

• 土地资源与利用 • 上一篇    下一篇

南京市主城区住宅地价的时空演变

曹天邦1,2, 黄克龙1,2, 李剑波1,2, 王亚华1   

  1. 1. 南京师范大学地理科学学院 南京 210046;
    2. 江苏金宁达不动产评估咨询有限公司 南京 210036
  • 收稿日期:2011-07-13 修回日期:2012-02-12 出版日期:2012-06-20 发布日期:2012-06-20
  • 通讯作者: 黄克龙(1963- ),男,江苏扬中人,教授,主要研究方向为地理信息系统和土地管理.E-mail:HKL@jsemap.com
  • 作者简介:曹天邦(1968- )男,江苏兴化人,博士,高级工程师,主要从事地价评估研究.E-mail:njcaotb@163.com
  • 基金资助:

    教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金(11YJC840051);江苏省高校自然科学基金(10KJB170005);江苏高校优势学科建设工程资助项目

The spatial-temporal evolution of the residential land price of downtown Nanjing

CAO Tian-bang1,2, HUANG Ke-long1,2, LI Jian-bo1,2, WANG Ya-hua1   

  1. 1. College of Geographic Science, Nanjing Normal University, Nanjing 210046, China;
    2. Jiangsu Jin Ning Da Real Estate Valuation and Consultation Co., Ltd., Nanjing 210036, China
  • Received:2011-07-13 Revised:2012-02-12 Online:2012-06-20 Published:2012-06-20

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摘要： 城市地价在空间、时间分布上具有较强的关联性和特殊性,随着城市建设的快速发展和土地市场的不断发育,城市地价的时空变化日趋复杂。本文以南京市主城区为例,基于城市地价动态监测数据,运用统计分析方法和克里金插值方法,研究城市住宅地价时空演变特征。研究表明:从宏观上讲,地价时间上演变受宏观经济影响较大,大的经济形势、房地产市场的变动,对地价变化影响显著。从中观上讲,地价空间上演变主要体现在城市内部的区位条件、交通条件、城市规划、公用设施状况和环境条件等的影响。上述两者共同作用于地价的变化,并且两者相互关联、密不可分。通过城市地价的时空演变研究,以期快速、直观、准确地反映城市地价变化,为城市地价的宏观调控、合理利用土地资源提供参考。

关键词: 住宅地价, 时间演变, 地价等值线, 地价剖面, 时空演变

Abstract: The urban land price is highly related with space and time and has its unique features in these two aspects.With the rapid development of urban construction and continuous growth of land market,the spatial-temporal evolution of the urban land price has become increasingly complex.Taking the downtown Nanjing as an example,this paper conducts studies on the spatial-temporal evolution of urban residential land price based on statistical analysis and Kriging interpolation by the collected monitoring data of the urban land price.Two conclusions are drawn in the study.On one hand,the spatial evolution of urban residential land price is significantly influenced by macro-economy such as the overall economic situation and the real estate market;on the other hand,its temporal evolution is mainly attributed to location,natural condition,traffic construction,urban planning,public utility and environment.To be specific,(1)location is the main factor affecting the land price,while the traditional public utility still acts as a dominant one;(2)traffic convenience directly influences urban residential land price;(3)urban planning is a crucial factor which determines urban land price and its dynamic changes;(4)as residents focus more on the regional environment,favorable natural and cultural environments rise as one of the most important factors in people's choice of residence;(5)with the development of urban areas,factors such as historical ones,traditional concepts and psychological ones exert less impact on the land price.The above two conclusions are interrelated with each other,and have joint influence on the land price.This paper studies the spatial-temporal evolution of the urban residential land price in order to reflect land price in a prompt,direct and accurate way and serve the macro-control of land price as well as the reasonable use of land resources.

Key words: residential land price, temporal evolution, land price contour, profile of land price, spatial-temporal evolution