| Model | 2000—2005年 | 2005—2010年 | 2010—2015年 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Negative binomial | Logit | Negative binomial | Logit | Negative binomial | Logit | |||
| DISi,j | -0.608*** | 1.640*** | -0.531*** | 1.214*** | -0.518*** | 1.491*** | ||
| HETj | 0.500*** | 0.051 | 0.483*** | -0.995*** | 0.548*** | -0.151 | ||
| HETi | 0.388*** | -1.183*** | 0.484*** | -1.296*** | 0.450*** | -1.316*** | ||
| INCj | 1.900*** | -6.056*** | 1.689*** | -3.468*** | 0.726*** | -2.324*** | ||
| INCi | -0.076 | -0.853 | -0.718*** | 0.621 | -0.734*** | 1.066 | ||
| TERj | 0.954*** | -1.868*** | 0.879*** | -1.583* | 1.123*** | -1.795** | ||
| TERi | 0.145 | 0.526 | 0.256 | 0.003 | -0.070 | -0.104 | ||
| COSj | 0.140 | -2.785*** | -0.005 | 0.263 | -0.070 | 0.011 | ||
| COSi | -0.144 | -2.398*** | -0.144 | 0.512 | 0.429* | -1.175* | ||
| STAj | 0.560** | -0.310 | 0.482** | -1.939*** | -0.752*** | 0.594 | ||
| STAi | 0.400 | -0.894 | -0.004 | 1.488*** | 0.223 | 1.078 | ||
| HOPj | -0.245*** | 0.697*** | -0.213*** | 0.298 | -0.125* | 0.423** | ||
| HOPi | 0.040 | 0.300 | 0.010 | 0.007 | 0.086 | -0.128 | ||
| MUSj | -0.141 | -0.187 | 0.289** | -0.825** | 0.145 | -0.108 | ||
| MUSi | 0.249* | -0.390 | -0.148 | 0.507 | 0.118 | -0.694* | ||
| TECj | -0.366** | 0.385 | -0.368*** | 0.976** | -0.781*** | 0.981** | ||
| TECi | 0.219 | -0.310 | 0.084 | 0.371 | 0.099 | 0.518 | ||
| GREj | 0.112 | 0.191 | -0.275*** | -0.046 | -0.171 | 1.061*** | ||
| GREi | 0.204 | 0.583* | -0.261** | 0.677** | 0.216 | -0.284 | ||
| SOCi,j | 0.047*** | -0.088*** | 0.073*** | -0.063** | 0.070*** | -0.056** | ||
| _cons | -22.865*** | 85.454*** | -13.25*** | 46.93*** | -4.696 | 22.91* | ||
| Obs | 930 | 930 | 930 | |||||
| Nonzero obs | 554 | 601 | 594 | |||||
| Log Likelihood | -5040.692 | -5970.396 | -5873.993 | |||||
| Overdispersion(a) | 0.435 | 0.442 | 0.467 | |||||
