地理研究 ›› 2021, Vol. 40 ›› Issue (6): 1596-1609.doi: 10.11821/dlyj020200537
徐智邦1,2(), 焦利民1,2(
), 贾琦琪1,2, 雷玮倩1,2, 蓝婷3, 赵睿4, 许刚5
收稿日期:
2020-06-15
接受日期:
2020-11-30
出版日期:
2021-06-10
发布日期:
2021-08-10
通讯作者:
焦利民
作者简介:
徐智邦(1991-),男,山东淄博人,博士研究生。研究方向为城市扩张与城市标度律。 E-mail: xzbang@whu.edu.cn
基金资助:
XU Zhibang1,2(), JIAO Limin1,2(
), JIA Qiqi1,2, LEI Weiqian1,2, LAN Ting3, ZHAO Rui4, XU Gang5
Received:
2020-06-15
Accepted:
2020-11-30
Online:
2021-06-10
Published:
2021-08-10
Contact:
JIAO Limin
摘要:
“城市标度律”(urban scaling laws)揭示了城市系统中城市人口和城市要素间普遍存在的非线性规模缩放关系,但目前大多数城市评价忽视了这种关系,常使用人均指标比较不同规模的城市,这会导致评价结果偏差。为此,考虑城市人口和城市要素间的非线性规模缩放关系构建了要素效能指数,用以修正城市规模的影响,度量城市要素实际发挥出预期能力的程度。以城市发展不同维度上的9个城市要素为例,分别测度了2017年中国292个地级以上城市各要素的效能,识别了各要素效能的空间差异和集聚特征,分析了要素效能指数的优势并讨论了结果的政策启示。结果表明:① 9个城市要素都符合“城市标度律”,其中8个要素与城市人口呈非线性规模缩放关系;从标度律的视角测度城市效能是必要而且可行的。② 城市综合经济、商业消费和公共财政效能普遍以东部沿海地区较高;东北地区的基础教育和中西部地区的公共交通效能较低;土地和水资源禀赋较高的地区对应的效能值并不高;大部分城市的生态绿地效能较低。600万人以上的城市中,杭州、深圳、天津的各维度效能表现较均衡。③ 与人均指标评价结果的对比证明要素效能指数能够修正人口规模对城市评价的影响,对常用的总量和人均指标是有益的补充。标度律视角下的城市效能测度能够给城市人口管理和城市要素发展的决策提供明确的指导方向,同时为不同规模大小的城市提供更客观的比较标准,对国家城镇体系规划和落实中国新型城市化战略具有积极意义。
徐智邦, 焦利民, 贾琦琪, 雷玮倩, 蓝婷, 赵睿, 许刚. 标度律视角的城市效能测度及中国城市多维要素效能分析[J]. 地理研究, 2021, 40(6): 1596-1609.
XU Zhibang, JIAO Limin, JIA Qiqi, LEI Weiqian, LAN Ting, ZHAO Rui, XU Gang. Assessment of multidimensional performance for Chinese cities based on urban scaling law[J]. GEOGRAPHICAL RESEARCH, 2021, 40(6): 1596-1609.
表1
研究使用的城市要素及要素解释"
城市要素 | 要素维度 | 价值方向 | 解释 |
---|---|---|---|
地区生产总值 | 综合经济 | 正向 | 指按市场价格计算的一个地区所有常住单位在一定时期内生产活动的最终成果 |
社会消费品零售总额 | 商业消费 | 正向 | 指企业通过交易直接售给个人、社会集团非生产、非经营用的实物商品金额,以及提供餐饮服务所取得的收入金额 |
公共预算收入 | 公共财政 | 正向 | 指属于地方一般公共预算的收入,包括地方企业上交利润,城市维护建设税等各税种的全部或部分,地方非税收入等 |
中小学教师数 | 基础教育 | 正向 | 指在经教育部门批准的各类中小学中,具有教师资格、专门从事教学工作的人员 |
医院床位数 | 医疗设施 | 正向 | 各级医院拥有的固定床位总数 |
公共交通营运车辆数 | 公共交通 | 正向 | 指城市公共交通企业可参加营运的全部车辆数 |
建成区面积 | 土地消耗 | 负向 | 指实际已成片开发建设、市政公用设施和公共设施基本具备的区域 |
用水量 | 水资源消耗 | 负向 | 自来水厂供出厂外的全部水量,包括有效供水量及损失水量 |
绿地面积 | 生态绿地 | 正向 | 指用作绿化的各种绿地面积。包括公园绿地、单位附属绿地、居住区绿地、生产绿地、防护绿地和风景林地的总面积 |
表2
不同城市要素的城市标度律方程参数"
城市要素 | 要素维度 | 标度关系 | β | β的95%置信区间 | R2 | P-value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
地区生产总值 | 综合经济 | 超线性模式 | 1.16 | 1.10~1.22 | 0.84 | 0.00 |
社会消费品零售总额 | 商业消费 | 超线性模式 | 1.20 | 1.15~1.25 | 0.87 | 0.00 |
公共预算收入 | 公共财政 | 超线性模式 | 1.29 | 1.22~1.37 | 0.79 | 0.00 |
中小学教师数 | 基础教育 | 次线性模式 | 0.77 | 0.73~0.82 | 0.79 | 0.00 |
医院床位数 | 医疗设施 | 次线性模式 | 0.91 | 0.86~0.95 | 0.85 | 0.00 |
公共交通营运车辆数 | 公共交通 | 超线性模式 | 1.13 | 1.07~1.18 | 0.85 | 0.00 |
建成区面积 | 土地消耗 | 次线性模式 | 0.86 | 0.83~0.89 | 0.91 | 0.00 |
用水量 | 水资源消耗 | 超线性模式 | 1.10 | 1.05~1.16 | 0.83 | 0.00 |
绿地面积 | 生态绿地 | 线性模式 | 0.98 | 0.92~1.03 | 0.81 | 0.00 |
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